The Chicago Cubs host the Cincinnati Reds on August 30, 2026. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBC/Peacock.
The Cubs are favored by -154 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +143 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Cubs Prediction
- Reds vs Cubs Pick: Chase Burns Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110, DraftKings)
My Reds vs Cubs best bet is Chase Burns Under 5.5 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Cubs Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -149 | 9 -120o / 100u | +143 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +124 | 9 -120o / 100u | -154 |
- Reds vs Cubs moneyline: Reds +143, Cubs -154
- Reds vs Cubs over/under: 9 (-120 / +100)
- Reds vs Cubs spread: Reds +1.5 (-149), Cubs -1.5 (+124)
Reds vs Cubs Probable Pitchers
| Chase Burns (RHP, CIN) | Stat | Shota Imanaga (LHP, CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 14-3 | W-L | 8-9 |
| 4.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 2.77 / 3.17 | ERA / xERA | 3.78 / 3.82 |
| 3.11 / 3.45 | FIP / xFIP | 4.61 / 3.86 |
| 20.3 | K-BB% | 18.6 |
| 36.3 | GB% | 35.3 |
| .289 | BABIP | .262 |
| 112 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 102 | Location+ | 109 |
Reds vs Cubs MLB Betting Preview
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Reds (64-72) are coming off a 17-5 loss to the Cubs. They're looking to take two of three from their NL Central division rivals, but this is a case of a team just playing out the season, as they're pretty much out of contention, currently eight games back of the final wild card spot.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Cubs (77-59) are eight games back of the Brewers for the NL Central division lead. Facing a virtually insurmountable deficit in the division, Chicago is just playing to keep their wild card spot, which looks pretty secure, since they're five games ahead of the Diamondbacks.
Reds vs Cubs Pick, Betting Analysis
Instead of taking a side or total, I'm focusing on a player prop for this one. I'm going with Chase Burns Under 5.5 strikeouts. You can get this prop at plus money.
With the Reds out of contention, they have no incentive to give a lot of volume to Burns. You're likely going to see them limit his pitch count. We saw that against the Giants, where he was removed after 64 pitches after allowing five earned runs in 3.2 innings.
This is reflected in Burns' outs prop, which currently comes in at 14.5, juiced to the Over. That means that Burns is projected to only go five innings in this matchup.
On top of that, the Cubs have a 19.5% strikeout rate in the last 14 days, which ranks 10th in MLB.
Given the limited volume and the tough matchup, it could be difficult for Burns to hit this number. With that in mind, I like the value on Under 5.5 strikeouts, available at +110 odds as of this writing.
Pick: Chase Burns Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110, DraftKings)
