The New York Yankees host the Cleveland Guardians on June 4, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -162 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Guardians are +136 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Guardians vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction
- Guardians vs Yankees Pick: Under 8.5
My Guardians vs Yankees best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Yankees Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -152 | 8.5 -108o / -112u | +136 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +126 | 8.5 -108o / -112u | -162 |
- Guardians vs Yankees moneyline: Guardians +136, Yankees -162
- Guardians vs Yankees over/under: 8.5 (-108 / -112)
- Guardians vs Yankees spread: Guardians +1.5 (-152), Yankees -1.5 (+126)
Guardians vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| Slade Cecconi (RHP, CLE) | Stat | Carlos Rodon (LHP, NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 5.25 / 4.61 | ERA / xERA | 3.32 / 3.17 |
| 4.49 / 4.30 | FIP / xFIP | 3.88 / 4.40 |
| 11.0% | K-BB% | 8.6% |
| 44.7% | GB% | 52.2% |
| .332 | BABIP | .239 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 100 | Location+ | 85 |
Guardians vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
In matchups between winning teams, sportsbooks often inflate totals due to perceived offensive capability, yet these teams also tend to have stronger pitching and tighter late-game execution — leading to a profitable edge on the Under.
Guardians vs Yankees Pick, Betting Analysis
Carlos Rodon has pitched OK through his first four starts. The stuff is there, but he’s really struggling with command (16% walk rate, 85 Location+). If he can corral the free passes, everything should go back to normal.
His second start this season at Yankee Stadium is a good spot for Rodon to bounce back.
Slade Cecconi isn’t a world-beater, but he’s due for plenty of positive regression (5.25 ERA, 4.30 xERA). The Guardians have a top-10 bullpen (by fWAR) and are typically good on defense.
However, the most important aspect of this handicap might be Aaron Judge's status. He’s dealing with a bone bruise, making his immediate and medium-term availability murky.
I don’t expect Judge to be in the lineup on Thursday, and I would aggressively downgrade New York’s lineup as a result. Judge has missed time over the past few seasons, and the Yanks often really struggle in the batter’s box without the three-time MVP.
Pick: Under 8.5
