The New York Yankees host the Detroit Tigers on September 11, 2025. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSDET.
After taking the first two games with ease, the Tigers will look for the sweep against the Yankees.
Find my MLB betting preview and Tigers vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Tigers vs Yankees Prediction
- Tigers vs Yankees pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
My Tigers vs Yankees best bet is Under 8.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Tigers vs Yankees Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -155 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | +140 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -170 |
Tigers vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Tyler Holton (DET) | Stat | RHP Cam Schlittler (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | W-L | 2-3 |
| -0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 3.86 / 3.98 | ERA / xERA | 3.24 / 4.00 |
| 4.95 / 3.71 | FIP / xFIP | 3.96 / 3.81 |
| 1.12 | WHIP | 1.34 |
| 13.9 | K-BB% | 16.0 |
| 46.7 | GB% | 40.5 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 115 |
| 101 | Location+ | 99 |
Tigers vs Yankees Preview
The Yankees are going through a slump. The best-ranked offense this season in wRC+ is currently 23rd in September with an 87 rating.
New York has scored four runs or fewer in their past five games, with a 2.2 average during that span.
Reliever Tyler Holton is announced to start for the Tigers, so the bullpen will get to work, but they have held the Yankees to just one run against them in these first two games.
On top of that, Holton has a much better split on the road (3.31 ERA) than at home (4.25).
Cam Schlittler will get the ball for New York, and he has a 2.55 ERA across his last seven starts.
Our Bet Labs recommendation tonight is to go with the under.
This MLB betting system, titled "Steam Unders with Low OU Support", is built on the premise that sharp money moving totals downward, paired with weak public support on the under, creates an exploitable edge in the betting market.
The strategy focuses on regular season games from 2019 to 2025, where the closing total lands between 8 and 10—sweet spots for scoring volatility.
It isolates games where the over/under line has dropped significantly from open to close, signaling smart money on the under, yet public sentiment heavily favors the over, with only a small share of bets backing the under. This mismatch between money and ticket count indicates potential value, especially when the difference between those two figures is meaningful but not extreme.
To reduce noise, the system excludes games played in extreme heat or cold, only including those where temperatures range from mild to warm. It also requires both teams to have a recent record of games that hover around the total, suggesting no extreme streaks skewing expectations.
These filters ensure that neither team is riding unsustainable over or under trends. Ultimately, this system looks for low-confidence unders that have been steamed down by sharp bettors, where public interest is light and the number still sits within a realistic scoring range.
The result is a consistent edge, backed by a high sample size and strong return on investment.
Pick: Under 8.5 (+100, BetMGM)
