Dodgers vs. White Sox MLB Odds, Pick & Preview: Target the Total in Chicago (Thursday, June 9)

Dodgers vs. White Sox MLB Odds, Pick & Preview: Target the Total in Chicago (Thursday, June 9) article feature image

David Berding/Getty Images. Pictured: Dylan Cease.

  • The White Sox host the Dodgers for the finale of this mid-week series.
  • The two teams split the first two games, and the under hit in each. Will that trend continue?
  • Tony Sartori shares his best bet below.

Dodgers vs. White Sox Odds

Dodgers Odds-120
White Sox Odds+100
Over/Under8.5 (-110/-110)
Time2:10 p.m. ET
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

We have the third and final matchup of this three-game interleague series as the AL Central's Chicago White Sox host the NL West's Los Angeles Dodgers. The under has hit in each of the first two games of this series.

Will we get another low-scoring game between these two teams, or can the scoring pick up in the rubber match?

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Los Angeles Dodgers: Expect Another Strong Start From Anderson

The Los Angeles Dodgers enter this matchup following a flurry of low-scoring games as there have been eight or fewer total runs scored in seven of their past 11 contests (64%). I expect this trend to continue in this game as left-hander Tyler Anderson is projected to take the mound for the Dodgers.

Through 10 appearances this season, Anderson is 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA and a 0.952 WHIP. There have been eight or fewer runs scored in seven of those 10 appearances (70%).

We should not expect any regression from Anderson in this matchup as he boasts a .293 xwOBA, .240 xBA and a .417 xSLG. In his one start against the White Sox last season, Anderson allowed three runs on five hits through 6 2/3 innings.

I do not expect Anderson to get much run support as the Dodgers are slated to go against right-hander Dylan Cease. Not only is Cease one of the better pitchers in the game, but not a single batter on this team has faced him before and it could take a couple rotations through the batting order to figure out how he throws.

Chicago White Sox: Can Cease Continue to Dominate?

Like the Dodgers, the Chicago White Sox have also seen some low-scoring games recently as there have been eight or fewer total runs scored in 13 of their past 23 games (57%). As I mentioned above, right-hander Dylan Cease is projected to take the mound for the White Sox.

Through 11 starts this season, Cease is 4-2 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.286 WHIP. There have been eight or fewer total runs scored in four of Cease's past seven starts (57%).

While Cease's surface-level numbers are good, they should get even better as the season rolls on based on his metrics. This year, Cease boasts a .279 xwOBA, .195 xBA, and a .338 xSLG.

Cease may not get much run support in this contest as the White Sox are slated to go against left-hander Tyler Anderson. When facing left-handed pitchers at home since the beginning of May, the White Sox rank just 22nd in the league in BA, 19th in SLG, 22nd in OPS and 23rd in wOBA.

Through 57 career plate appearances against Anderson, this current White Sox roster possesses a mere .196 BA, .314 SLG and .250 wOBA.

Dodgers-White Sox Pick

I expect to see the under hit for the third straight game in this series as we have two tremendous starting pitchers facing off in Tyler Anderson and Dylan Cease. The numbers, metrics and trends all point to the under.

Additionally, this White Sox lineup has struggled against left-handers at home since the beginning of May and has not had much success against Anderson. If Anderson and the Dodgers hold the White Sox to three or fewer runs, the under should be live as I would be shocked if the Dodgers get six or more on Cease and Chicago's bullpen.

These two teams rarely face off so this trend did not go into the handicapping, but it is interesting to note that there have been eight or fewer total runs scored in seven of the past nine meetings between these two teams (78%).

Pick: Dodgers/White Sox u8.5 (-110) | Play up to (-125)

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