The Toronto Blue Jays host the Cleveland Guardians on April 24, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SN1.
The Guardians are favored by -126 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Blue Jays are +108 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Guardians vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Guardians vs Blue Jays Pick: Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts
My Guardians vs Blue Jays best bet is on Max Scherzer to go under 3.5 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +128 | 8 -115o / -105u | -126 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -154 | 8 -115o / -105u | +108 |
- Guardians vs Blue Jays moneyline: Guardians -126, Blue Jays +108
- Guardians vs Blue Jays over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- Guardians vs Blue Jays spread: Guardians -1.5 (+128), Blue Jays +1.5 (-154)
Guardians vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| RHP Gavin Williams (CLE) | Stat | RHP Max Scherzer (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 2.12/3.51 | ERA / xERA | 7.16/6.11 |
| 3.92/3.11 | FIP / xFIP | 6.21/5.42 |
| 20.0% | K-BB% | 7.4% |
| 55.2% | GB% | 25.0% |
| .167 | BABIP | .250 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 102 | Location+ | 104 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
The Guardians remain one of the most frustrating lineups for opposing pitchers to navigate. Their offensive philosophy is built on putting the ball in play, and they currently rank among the lowest-strikeout offenses.
By avoiding "free" outs via the strikeout, Cleveland forces defenses to make plays and keeps pitch counts rising, which is a dangerous combination for a starter struggling with his efficiency.
Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are sending Max Scherzer to the mound, hoping for a vintage performance. However, the 2026 version of Scherzer is a pitcher in transition.
While he remains a central part of the rotation, the dominant "stuff" that defined his Hall of Fame trajectory has diminished significantly this season. Toronto will need its veteran to rely more on guile than gas to get through this disciplined Cleveland lineup.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis
The market is still giving Max Scherzer a fair amount of "name value" credit, but the data tells a different story.
Facing a Cleveland offense that is very low in strikeouts. Scherzer, as much as there's still some name value there, is not the guy he used to be.
His strikeout rating has been going down, and his stuff has gotten considerably worse this year.
Between Scherzer getting worse and the matchup, I think the number on this looks pretty good.
Pick: Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts
