It's Dinger Tuesday, so you know I've got some bangers.
I'm backing a pair of Petes to go yard in their respective matchups today.
Home Run Picks Today
Pete Alonso Home Run
vs. D-Backs, 7:35 p.m. ET
Opposing pitcher Merrill Kelly had an off year last season and was a plus matchup for HRs to both sides of the plate.
The weather in Baltimore should be great for HRs, with temps in the low-80s and wind blowing out to center field.
Pete Alonso is one of the best long-ball hitters in the league, and given the plus matchup and weather, these odds are far too high.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +325.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run
@ Phillies, 7:40 p.m. ET
PCA gets a great spot today, going up against Aaron Nola in great weather.
Nola was an absolute gas can for lefty power last season, giving up a large 2.21 HR/9. While he’s due for some positive regression, he still grades out as a well-above-average matchup for lefty power.
The weather over in Philly is great for hitting today, with temps in the mid 80s and wind blowing out at 8 MPH in what might be the best park in the league for lefty power.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +400.
Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run
