The Philadelphia Phillies host the Houston Astros on September 8, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
The Phillies are favored by -145 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Astros are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Astros vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Astros vs Phillies Prediction
- Astros vs Phillies Pick: Hayden Wesneski Under 15.5 Outs (-107)
My Astros vs Phillies best bet is Under 15.5 outs for Hayden Wesneski today. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Astros vs Phillies Odds
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -171 | 8.5 -117o / -103u | +120 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +141 | 8.5 -117o / -103u | -145 |
- Astros vs Phillies moneyline: Astros +120, Phillies -145
- Astros vs Phillies over/under: 8.5 (-117o / -103u)
- Astros vs Phillies spread: Astros +1.5 (-171), Phillies -1.5 (+141)
Astros vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
| Hayden Wesneski (RHP, HOU) | Stat | Andrew Painter (RHP, PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | W-L | 3-8 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 3.18 / 3.82 | ERA / xERA | 5.55 / 4.34 |
| 3.30 / 4.12 | FIP / xFIP | 4.66 / 4.39 |
| 12.0 | K-BB% | 11.8 |
| 41.7 | GB% | 41.3 |
| .243 | BABIP | .294 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 98 | Location+ | 102 |
Astros vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 13.65 pitching outs for Astros starter Hayden Wesneski compared to 15.61 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value in this matchup against the Phillies.
If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 71% of the time, resulting in a 38% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $40.32. This play is good down to at least -183.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Hayden Wesneski Under 15.5 Outs (-107, DraftKings)
