The Cincinnati Reds host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday, July 28, 2025. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on FDSOH and MLB.TV.
The Reds enter as +130 underdogs at home against the reigning World Series champion Dodgers. The over/under is set at 9 total runs.
Find my Dodgers vs Reds prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Picks
- Dodgers vs. Reds Pick: Reds ML (+130 · Play to +115)
My Reds vs. Dodgers best bet is on Cincinnati moneyline, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Reds Odds, Spread, Best Bet
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 9 -115o / -105u | -160 |
| Cincinnati Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 9 -115o / -105u | +135 |
Dodgers vs Reds Pitchers
| RHP Chase Burns (CIN) | Stat | RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | W-L | 8-7 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.9 |
| 6.65 / 4.32 | ERA / xERA | 2.55 / 2.84 |
| 3.78 / 2.90 | FIP / xFIP | 3.08 / 3.06 |
| 1.62 | WHIP | 1.05 |
| 3.2 | K-BB% | 3.8 |
| 33.3 | GB% | 52.7 |
| 112 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 104 | Location+ | 108 |
Dodgers vs Reds MLB Betting Preview
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
It's only a matter of time until Chase Burns begins posting better numbers.
The Reds' top draft pick from a season ago has ugly stats on the surface. His 6.65 ERA is rough, but he's punching out a ridiculous 14.54 batters per nine, while boasting a 4.32 xERA, 3.78 FIP, and 2.90 xFIP.
If you take away Burns's second career outing, in which he allowed five earned runs and recorded just one out in a loss to the Red Sox, he'd have much more pleasing numbers.
Since returning from the All-Star break, the Reds' offense has found its stride. They boast a strong 108 wRC+ while sporting an 11% walk rate and 17% strikeout rate in those eight games.
The sample might be small, but the Reds swept the Rays by forcing their pitchers to work and throw strikes. The same should apply to this series against the Dodgers.
Four Cincinnati bats have a wRC+ better than 130 since the break, led by a 149 from Austin Hays and 146 from Elly De La Cruz.
De La Cruz is developing into a well-rounded hitter right in front of our eyes. He hasn't hit for power of late, but he's batting .330 in his last 30 games with just 27 strikeouts and 15 walks. He's become a full-fledged superstar.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
Yoshinobu Yamamoto is by far the best pitcher on the Dodgers' very wounded pitching staff, but they haven't won many of his outings. In his last nine starts, the Dodgers are just 3-6, and he allowed 3+ runs in five of the six outings.
The Dodgers ace boasts a dazzling 2.55 ERA with a 2.84 xERA and 3.08 FIP. He's a very reliable starter, but his high strikeout rate and occasional issue with walks can lead to a shorter outing here.
The Reds' recent surge of walks could be an issue for Yamamoto, and he'll need to give the Dodgers a strong six or seven innings to help a bullpen filled with guys who have to fill larger roles due to injuries.
We're looking at a nearly month-long sample of the Dodgers' offense being bad. They rank 28th in MLB with 87 wRC+ in July and a troubling 25% strikeout rate.
Striking out that much is an issue, and facing a pitcher like Burns, who hunts the strikeout, could mean this Dodgers lineup is in for a rough night.
The only three Dodgers hitters providing positive value are Shohei Ohtani, Will Smith, and Andy Pages. The issue is that Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman have a wRC+ below 80 over their last 70 at-bats.
Two players hitting in the top four being near automatic outs is a huge issue. It's hard to build any sort of rally or string hits together because Betts is leading off and getting out, and Freeman is struggling to drive runners in.
Dodgers vs Reds Pick, Best Bets
Give me plus money with the Reds here. Let's look at the reality of the matter: the Dodgers aren't healthy, and their stars, outside of Ohtani, are underperforming.
Now, they're heading on the road to face a Reds team that's playing well with a starter who's due for a good outing.
The price is simply too steep for the Dodgers at -160.
Pick: Reds ML (+130 · Play to +115)
