The Texas Rangers host the Seattle Mariners on July 24, 2026. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CW33.
The Mariners are favored by -115 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rangers are -105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mariners vs Rangers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction
- Mariners vs Rangers Pick: Bryce Miller Under 17.5 Outs (-117 or Better)
My Mariners vs Rangers best bet is on Bryce Miller to go under his outs total Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mariners vs Rangers Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -175 | 7.5 -111o / -109u | -115 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +145 | 7.5 -111o / -109u | -105 |
- Mariners vs Rangers moneyline: Mariners -115, Rangers -105
- Mariners vs Rangers over/under: 7.5 (-111o / -109u)
- Mariners vs Rangers spread: Mariners -1.5 (+145), Rangers +1.5 (-175)
Mariners vs Rangers Probable Pitchers
| RHP Bryce Miller (SEA) | Stat | LHP MacKenzie Gore (TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | W-L | 6-8 |
| 1.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 2.27/2.49 | ERA / xERA | 4.80/3.95 |
| 3.23/3.11 | FIP / xFIP | 3.82/3.95 |
| 25.3% | K-BB% | 16.8% |
| 39.5% | GB% | 37.0% |
| .247 | BABIP | .295 |
| 109 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 112 | Location+ | 100 |
Mariners vs Rangers Pick, Betting Analysis
This is another pitching prop that feels a bit scary on the surface. I like Bryce Miller in general, and I know my BAT X stuff model really likes his pitch quality this season.
However, from a betting value perspective, we are taking Bryce Miller Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (+120 at BetMGM). (Note: You can also find +116 at FanDuel and DraftKings, and I like this play down to -115).
As much as I respect Miller's talent, he is simply not a pitcher who regularly goes super deep into ballgames. Even in starts where he isn't being piggybacked—which he presumably isn't today—he still hasn't worked deep into games.
He has completed 18+ outs in only three of his 10 starts this season. While a few of those outings were controlled piggyback starts where he didn't have a realistic shot to complete six full innings, the baseline remains: the projections don't expect him to work deep here, and his track record reflects that.
THE BAT X projects a 59% win rate on this under. When you give us an implied probability edge with plus-money at +120, I am going to take it and fade Miller's length. Pitching away from T-Mobile Park in Seattle certainly helps our case as well.
Pick: Bryce Miller Under 17.5 Outs (-117 or Better)
