The New York Yankees host the Miami Marlins on April 4, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Yankees are favored by -199 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +162 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Yankees Prediction
- Marlins vs Yankees Pick: Marlins +1.5
My Marlins vs Yankees best bet is on Miami to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Yankees Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +113 | 7.5 -116o / -104u | +162 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -134 | 7.5 -116o / -104u | -199 |
- Marlins vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (+113 ), Marlins +1.5 (-134)
- Marlins vs Yankees over/under: 7.5 (-116o / -104u)
- Marlins vs Yankees moneyline: Marlins +162, Yankees -199
Marlins vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
| Max Meyer | Stat | Ryan Weathers |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | W-L | 6-1 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 5.40 / 5.53 | ERA /xERA | 2.08 / 3.35 |
| 2.38 / 4.45 | FIP / xFIP | 1.34 / 2.02 |
| 1.40 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 13 | K-BB% | 26.3 |
| 37.5 | GB% | 40 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 106 | Location+ | 118 |
Marlins vs Yankees Preview
The Yankees and Marlins meet again on Saturday in the Bronx after New York cruised to an 8-2 win in Friday's opener. With the offense already clicking, the Yankees will look to build on that momentum, while Miami searches for a quick response.
Ryan Weathers gets the ball for New York after a strong start to the season. The left-hander impressed in his debut, holding a tough Mariners lineup to one run over 4.1 innings while generating more than half of his outs via strikeout. After retooling his arsenal this offseason — increasing his sinker usage and moving away from a changeup opponents slugged .571 against last year — Weathers will now face his former team. Still, after throwing 77 pitches last time out, he may not yet be ready for a full workload.
On the other side, Max Meyer will start for Miami as he continues to find his rhythm. The former top prospect has dealt with injuries throughout his career and owns a 5.29 ERA across limited action since debuting in 2022. He showed flashes in his first start of the year, allowing three runs over five innings against Colorado in a Marlins win, but command remains a concern, especially after Miami's staff issued 11 walks in Friday's loss.
Marlins vs Yankees Picks
This game triggered one of our Action PRO Betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
The "Short Dogs on Small Losing Streak, Non-Divisional" system targets short underdogs on a brief losing streak, facing a strong opponent in non-divisional matchups. The idea is to back undervalued teams that are due for a bounce-back against public-favored teams with high win percentages.
These spots often present inflated lines due to recency bias and public perception, especially when the opponent is winning and the dog is on a minor skid. Non-divisional games tend to introduce more volatility and value since familiarity is lower.
Pick: Marlins +1.5
