The Boston Red Sox host the Miami Marlins on August 15, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSFL.
Sandy Alcantara will get the ball for the Marlins against the Red Sox's Lucas Giolito in the opener of this three-game series.
Find my MLB betting preview and Marlins vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Marlins vs Red Sox Prediction
- Marlins vs Red Sox pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140)
My Marlins vs Red Sox best bet is on Sandy Alcantara to get Under 4.5 strikeouts in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Red Sox Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -151 | 8.5 -120o / -101u | +138 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +124 | 8.5 -120o / -101u | -168 |
Marlins vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Sandy Alcantara (MIA) | Stat | RHP Lucas Giolito (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | W-L | 8-2 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 6.55 / 5.19 | ERA / xERA | 3.77 / 5.26 |
| 4.55 / 4.53 | FIP / xFIP | 4.43 / 4.40 |
| 1.45 | WHIP | 1.25 |
| 8.0 | K-BB% | 11.8 |
| 45.3 | GB% | 35.9 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 100 | Location+ | 99 |
Marlins vs Red Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
This Red Sox team has a totally different look than they did a month ago, as getting Alex Bregman and Masa Yoshida brings two low-strikeout guys into the heart of the order.
As a result, this projected lineup has a 21% strikeout percentage against right-handed pitchers this season.
Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara has not been quite the same pitcher pre-Tommy John surgery, as he is giving up more power and missing fewer bats.
He has just a 16.8% K% and a 24.5% CSW% on the year.
Pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140, DraftKings)
