The Boston Red Sox host the Minnesota Twins on May 24, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Red Sox are favored by -164 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +138 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Red Sox Prediction
- Twins vs Red Sox Pick: Under 8
My Twins vs Red Sox best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Red Sox Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -170 | 8 -105o / -115u | +138 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 8 -105o / -115u | -164 |
- Twins vs Red Sox moneyline: Twins +138, Red Sox -164
- Twins vs Red Sox over/under: 8 (-105 / -115)
- Twins vs Red Sox spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+140), Twins +1.5 (-170)
Twins vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| Bailey Ober (RHP, MIN) | Stat | Sonny Gray (RHP, BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | W-L | 5-1 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 3.63 / 3.78 | ERA / xERA | 2.93 / 4.43 |
| 4.29 / 4.68 | FIP / xFIP | 3.72 / 3.86 |
| 9.9% | K-BB% | 12.9% |
| 34.5% | GB% | 46.7% |
| .223 | BABIP | .271 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 90 | Location+ | 99 |
Twins vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
This system bets the under in daytime games where solid visiting arms suppress scoring, and the home offense is steady but not explosive.
Day games (11:00–14:59 ET) often play more slowly due to the sun, shadows, and shorter rest.
Visitor SP filters (ERA between 3.00 and 4.76, WHIP between 1.07 and 1.39) identify efficient pitchers capable of limiting damage without elite notoriety.
A home team hit rate between 7.81 and 8.24 ensures average offensive output.
Combined with lower totals and calm game tempos, this approach isolates a pocket where public expectations may overshoot actual output.
Twins vs Red Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
I love betting the Under in Red Sox games. They can't hit, they're the best defensive team in baseball, and their bullpen is pretty good.
Throw in an efficient starting pitching matchup — Sonny Gray and Bailey Ober isn't great, but it's not bad — and I'm all in on this Under.
Additionally, the weather should be brutal for hitting on Sunday. We're expecting temperatures under 50 and winds blowing directly in from center field.
Factoring in the weather impact, I project just 7.16 runs for this matchup.
Pick: Under 8
