The Kansas City Royals host the Minnesota Twins on September 7, 2025. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSKC.
Find my MLB betting preview and Twins vs Royals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Twins vs Royals Prediction
- Twins vs Royals pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
My Twins vs Royals best bet is Under 8.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Royals Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | +115 |
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -135 |
Twins vs Royals Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Bailey Ober (MIN) | Stat | Michael Lorenzen (KC) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | W-L | 5-9 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 5.23 / 4.57 | ERA / xERA | 4.54 / 4.39 |
| 5.33 / 4.87 | FIP / xFIP | 4.43 / 4.29 |
| 1.35 | WHIP | 1.33 |
| 13.4 | K-BB% | 13.9 |
| 29.3 | GB% | 38.8 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 103 | Location+ | 100 |
Twins vs Royals Preview
The Twins offense has not been all that productive this season, ranking in the bottom half in wRC+, and this week finds them 21st among all teams in September with a 94 rating.
The Royals aren't doing better, sitting at 25th this month in wRC+ with 85, while ranking 26th in the entire season.
So despite yesterday's 11-run Kansas City outburst, these two teams don't offer that much regarding run production, as evidenced in the 2-1 Royals win on Friday's series opener.
Bet Labs recommends the under, using the Sunday Unders on Over streak system.
This system targets Sunday MLB games where the home team is coming off 1–2 consecutive overs, suggesting recent offensive outperformance or inflated totals.
The theory is that on Sundays—often the final game of a series and an early start—teams may rest key hitters, lineups can be inconsistent, and pitchers often perform better against lineups they’ve already seen.
With an opening total in the 8 to 9.5 run range, the line is high enough to offer under value when offensive regression is likely. Betting the under in these specific setups has historically yielded a positive ROI over time.
Taking Unders with moderate totals (8 to 9.5) in Sunday games with home teams on an Over streak. Sunday games usually wrap up the series and are played during the day, usually after a night game.
Hitters may tend to be worn out by the end of the week, and collectively as a league, players tend to take their rest days on Sundays, so there's an added advantage towards Unders.
Pick: Under 8.5 (+100, BetMGM)
Twins vs Royals Betting Trends
