The Los Angeles Angels host the Minnesota Twins on September 19, 2026. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ABTV.
The Twins are favored by -110 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Angels are -109 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Angels prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Angels Prediction
- Twins vs Angels Pick: Under 7.5 (-117, 0.59u | Bet to 7)
My Twins vs Angels best bet is under 7 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Twins vs Angels Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -193 | 7.5 +105o / -125u | -109 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +162 | 7.5 +105o / -125u | -110 |
- Twins vs Angels moneyline: Twins -109, Angels -110
- Twins vs Angels over/under: 7.5 (+105o / -125u)
- Twins vs Angels spread: Twins -1.5 (+162), Angels +1.5 (-193)
Twins vs Angels Probable Pitchers
| Joe Ryan | Stat | Reid Detmers |
|---|---|---|
| 6-10 | W-L | 6-8 |
| 2.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 4.6 |
| 3.84 / 3.67 | ERA / xERA | 3.36 / 3.25 |
| 3.69 / 3.70 | FIP / xFIP | 3.03 / 3.37 |
| 20.7 | K-BB% | 22 |
| 36.5 | GB% | 37.6 |
| .294 | BABIP | .275 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 106 | Location+ | 109 |
Twins vs Angels MLB Betting Preview
Twins vs Angels Pick, Betting Analysis
Angels Stadium, surprisingly still called that, plays 2% below average as a run environment with early weather info suggesting a 3-4% boost and scheduled umpire Erich Bacchus adding another 0.9%.
In the end, we’re looking at a scoring environment between 2-3% above average without a significant change in weather, which rarely happens in Los Angeles.
Joe Ryan has not been his best version since the All-Star break, which includes a trip to the IL surrounded by just five starts.
He’s allowed 24 runs (22 earned) in just 23.1 innings. That includes 10 home runs on just eight barrels with six and four coming in his first post-break start. He’s walked just 3.5% of the batters he’s faced, but with a 15.3 K%.
He hasn’t been good, but it’s more 5.83 xERA, 4.98 xFIP bad than 8.49 ERA bad.
I know that’s still not very encouraging, but he may have to work to get hit hard by a projected Angels lineup averaging a putrid 75 wRC+ at home, 81 wRC+ and .132 ISO against RHP and 90 wRC+ over the last month. This includes four batters not reaching a .100 ISO against RHP.
The Twins projected defense probably won’t offer much help (-17 FRV), but Ryan is a fly ball pitcher and the outfield isn't as bad as the infield.
The bullpen is competent, not only ranking as BARTOLO’s 15th-best bullpen, but also owning the 12th-best estimators over the last month (4.04 FIP, 4.12 xFIP, 3.69 SIERA), despite the third-worst ERA (5.81), predicated on a .348 BABIP and 59.3 LOB%.
Seven straight quality starts for Reid Detmers, allowing six total runs, half of them in his last start against the Mariners, despite striking out eight with just one walk.
Detmers has a 25.1 K-BB%, while allowing 4.5% Barrels/BBE and a 35.5 HardHit% during this stretch and for the season, non-pitch modeling estimators ranging from a 3.03 FIP to a 3.37 xFIP wrapped around a 3.36 ERA.
The Twins, despite lacking LHBs, appear to be in their worst split against southpaws, especially without Byron Buxton, with the projected lineup averaging a 101 wRC+ and .138 ISO against them, also a 101 wRC+ on the road and just 82 wRC+ over the last month.
They may be a contact-prone lineup, but don’t hit the ball particularly hard.
Saturday’s projected defense for the Angels sits at a neutral 0 FRV.
The Angels bullpen ranks just 22nd via BARTOLO, but with the third-best estimators in the league over the last month (3.07 FIP, 3.77 xFIP, 3.56 SIERA).
To repeat a point made in Thursday’s Leadoff with updated numbers, there has been a collective .362 BABIP. So, of course, on Thursday night, they blew a 3-0 8th-inning lead, allowing just their 6th home run in the last month to Walker Jenkins, who has fewer career hits than that, even including that homer.
Anyway, everything except Ryan’s unprecedented recent small sample struggles wrapped around an injury, the Minnesota defense and Angels bullpen BABIP lines up for a low-scoring game.
If there were ever an offense for Ryan to snap out of it against…
Picks: Under 7.5 (-117, 0.59u | Bet to 7)
