The Milwaukee Brewers host the Minnesota Twins on August 9, 2026. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Brewers are -235 on the moneyline. The Twins are +194 on the moneyline. The total is set at 7.5 runs (+102 / -124).
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Brewers Prediction
Twins vs Brewers Picks:
- Brewers -1.5
- Brewers F5 -0.5
- Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Jackson Chourio Home Run
Twins vs Brewers Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 7.5 102o / -124u | +194 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -104 | 7.5 102o / -124u | -235 |
Twins vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
| Connor Prielipp (LHP, MIN) | Stat | Jacob Misiorowski (RHP, MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L | 11-5 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 5.1 |
| 4.75 / 4.05 | ERA / xERA | 1.63 / 1.92 |
| 3.86 / 4.10 | FIP / xFIP | 2.04 / 1.95 |
| 15.2% | K-BB% | 34.6% |
| 42.3% | GB% | 46.5% |
| .299 | BABIP | .225 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 128 |
| 103 | Location+ | 102 |
Twins vs Brewers MLB Betting Preview
The Brewers will host the Twins on Sunday afternoon to conclude a three-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee.
Jacob Misiorowski gets the start for Milwaukee in the middle of a Cy Young-worthy season, leading qualified starters in ERA (1.63), WHIP (0.73), and strikeouts (195).
The Twins will start Connor Prielipp in the middle of an up-and-down rookie season (4.75 ERA across 15 starts).
Ultimately, I expect the 72-44 Brewers to dominate this home game from start to finish behind Misiorowski.
Twins vs Brewers Pick, Betting Analysis
I expect Jackson Chourio to play a big part in the win.
Prielipp relies heavily on his four-seam fastball (30% usage), but it’s hardly been any good (.402 xwOBA allowed). That’s a problem against Chourio, who feasts against fastballs (.582 SLG, .420 wOBA).
Prielipp made a start against Milwaukee back in May. Chourio smacked a 400-foot homer off Minnesota’s lefty in the game — Prielipp left a hanging changeup that was absolutely crushed.
I wouldn’t be surprised if history repeated itself on Sunday.
Picks:
- Brewers -1.5
- Brewers F5 -0.5
- Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Jackson Chourio Home Run
