The Milwaukee Brewers host the Minnesota Twins on August 9, 2026. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Brewers are favored by -240 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +220 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Brewers Prediction
Twins vs Brewers Picks:
- Brewers -1.5
- Brewers F5 -0.5
- Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Jackson Chourio Home Run
Twins vs Brewers Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 7.5 -104o / -118u | +220 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 7.5 -104o / -118u | -240 |
Twins vs Brewers moneyline: Twins +220, Brewers -240
Twins vs Brewers over/under: 7.5 (-104o / -118u)
Twins vs Brewers spread: Twins +1.5 (-110), Brewers -1.5 (-110)
Twins vs Brewers Probable Pitchers
| Connor Prielipp (LHP, MIN) | Stat | Jacob Misiorowski (RHP, MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L | 11-5 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 5.1 |
| 4.75 / 4.05 | ERA / xERA | 1.63 / 1.92 |
| 3.86 / 4.10 | FIP / xFIP | 2.04 / 1.95 |
| 15.2% | K-BB% | 34.6% |
| 42.3% | GB% | 46.5% |
| .299 | BABIP | .225 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 128 |
| 103 | Location+ | 102 |
Twins vs Brewers MLB Betting Preview
The Brewers will host the Twins on Sunday afternoon to conclude a three-game series at American Family Field in Milwaukee.
Jacob Misiorowski gets the start for Milwaukee in the middle of a Cy Young-worthy season, leading qualified starters in ERA (1.63), WHIP (0.73), and strikeouts (195).
The Twins will start Connor Prielipp in the middle of an up-and-down rookie season (4.75 ERA across 15 starts).
Ultimately, I expect the 72-44 Brewers to dominate this home game from start to finish behind Misiorowski.
Twins vs Brewers Pick, Betting Analysis
I expect Jackson Chourio to play a big part in the win.
Prielipp relies heavily on his four-seam fastball (30% usage), but it’s hardly been any good (.402 xwOBA allowed). That’s a problem against Chourio, who feasts against fastballs (.582 SLG, .420 wOBA).
Prielipp made a start against Milwaukee back in May. Chourio smacked a 400-foot homer off Minnesota’s lefty in the game — Prielipp left a hanging changeup that was absolutely crushed.
I wouldn’t be surprised if history repeated itself on Sunday.
Picks:
- Brewers -1.5
- Brewers F5 -0.5
- Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Jackson Chourio Home Run
