We have 15 Major League Baseball games on the schedule for Sunday, May 25, and our baseball experts are all over it with four MLB best bets.
MLB picks and predictions for Sunday include two bets for Brewers vs Pirates, a player prop for Phillies vs Athletics, and a prediction on the game total for Dodgers vs Mets on Sunday Night Baseball.
Find all of our MLB best bets — and an MLB best bets parlay with all four picks — below.
MLB Best Bets, Player Props, Picks, Sunday Predictions
Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific Sunday MLB best bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 4:10 p.m. | |
  | 7:10 p.m. | |
  | 1:35 p.m. | |
| 1:35 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Brewers vs Pirates Moneyline Prediction
I think the Brewers will show up today. They have had a pair of tough losses in this series, and it has to be a bit jolting to be facing a sweep at the hands of a weak Pirates team.
Logan Henderson is the real deal on the mound, and he looks poised to be a high-strikeout Major League pitcher for many years to come.
I also like the Milwaukee bats against Bailey Falter, who will not continue to benefit from a .247 BABIP. The regression is coming, as evidenced by his 4.58 xFIP and low strikeouts.
Give me the Brewers to salvage the final game of this series; I had this line pegged at closer to -150. I'll take the value.
Pick: Brewers Moneyline (-130)
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Brewers vs Pirates F5 Pick
There are plenty of interesting angles in this matchup. My favorite is targeting these starting pitchers on the first five innings (F5) total.
Logan Henderson has been tremendous in his first taste of MLB action. He's allowed three earned runs across three starts with an excellent 23:4 K:BB. The opponents haven't been amazing (Athletics, Guardians, Orioles), but he gets another layup here. Pittsburgh ranks dead last in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ against righties over the past 30 days.
Bailey Falter is the bigger question mark, though he's been even better than Henderson lately.
Falter has allowed just one earned run across four starts this month, and he's tossed 16 2/3 consecutive scoreless innings. Falter's fastball averages just 91.9 mph, but it has an elite 19.0 inches of induced vertical break. It looks similar in terms of velocity and IVB to Shota Imanaga's heater.
Falter has bumped up his fastball usage from 37.9% to 49.6% over this dominant four-start stretch. A secondary offering has been the issue, though the splitter might be emerging.
Falter used it a season-high 8.9% of the time in his last start. A fastball/splitter approach again brings us back to the Imanaga comp. Falter isn't going to compete for a Cy Young any time soon, but there's at least a blueprint for success here.
Milwaukee ranks 23rd or worse in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ against lefties this season. More importantly, they Brewers are 29th in SLG and 28th in ISO.
Home runs tend to bite Falter, so the matchup is a nice boost. PNC Park also ranks tied for last in HR Park Factor over the past three seasons.
Pick: First Five Innings Under 4.5 (-110)
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Phillies vs Athletics Home Run Bet
By Derek Carty
Editor's Note: Nick Kurtz is not in the A's starting lineup on Sunday.
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.11 home runs for A's rookie Nick Kurtz.
Oddsmakers are implying 0.08 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 10% of the time, resulting in a 31% ROI with expected value of $31.43 (based on a $100 wager).
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Nick Kurtz Home Run (+1200)
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Dodgers vs Mets: System Over/Under Pick
By Bet Labs
Weather Watch Unders is a system built for MLB totals bettors who understand how environmental factors quietly shift run production.
This approach keys in on games with moderate-to- strong winds — especially those blowing in or cross-field — paired with mild-to-cool temperatures, a known recipe for stifled fly balls and reduced scoring.
