Thursday's MLB slate has plenty of home run candidates.
I'm targeting Los Angeles' Mike Trout, Tampa Bay's Junior Caminero, Houston's Isaac Paredes and Nick Kurtz of the Athletics to go lone.
Continue below for my MLB home run picks and HR props for Thursday, June 19.
MLB Home Run Picks for Thursday, June 19
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1:05 p.m. | |
| 6:35 p.m. | |
| 10:05 p.m. | |
| 10:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Angels vs Yankees Home Run Pick
Mike Trout
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+400) · vs. Carlos Rodon
I'm targeting a lot of the righties for the Angels today.
Opposing pitcher Carlos Rodon has been good this season, but he still has high fly-ball and hard-contact numbers vs. righties, and he still grades out as a plus matchup for righty power.
The weather in New York should be great for hitting, with temperatures expected to be near 90 degrees and 10 MPH winds blowing out to left field.
Trout has been great this season, and while he's been a little slow to return to form since coming back from injury, the power is absolutely there. I have the true odds here nearly 100 points lower, making this a great bet.
Pick: Mike Trout Over 0.5 Home Runs (+400)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Pick
Junior Caminero
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+450) · vs. Charlie Morton
Caminero gets a good matchup vs. Charlie Morton, who has been hit hard by righty power this season, giving up a high 1.53 HR/9.
This ballpark is great for power, and the weather should be good for hitting, with temps expected to be in the mid-80s, high humidity and winds blowing out slightly.
I have the true odds here around +400, making this a good bet.
Pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+450)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Pick
Nick Kurtz
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+600) · vs. Colton Gordon
Opposing pitcher Colton Gordon has been great vs. lefties this season, but the sample size is too small to put any merit into, and he grades out as just a slightly below-average matchup for lefty power.
Kurtz has been fantastic since his slow start to the season, and the weather in Sacramento should be great, with temps expected to be in the high-70s and wind blowing out at 13 MPH to right field.
I have the true odds here 100 points lower, making this a great bet.
Pick: Nick Kurtz Over 0.5 Home Runs (+600)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Bet
Isaac Paredes
Over 0.5 Home Runs (+540) · vs. Jacob Lopez
I'm going hard on the Houston righties, as the spot is too good.
Opposing pitcher Jacob Lopez has been crushed by righties this season, giving up a massive 1.90 HR/9 to go along with a fly-ball rate near 60%.
The weather should be good in Sacramento, with temps expected to be in the high-70s and wind blowing out at 13 MPH in what is one of the more wind-receptive ballparks in the league.
Paredes has been great this season, with 15 bombs in 70 games, and the short left-field porch plays into his spray chart perfectly.
I have the true odds here more than 100 points lower, making this another solid bet.
Pick: Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs (+540)
