We have a 9-game slate on Thursday, and plenty of bangers to offer you throughout the day.
Read on for my 4 MLB home run picks today for June 18.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:35 PM | |
  | 2:35 PM | |
  | 7:05 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Pick
The matchup isn't great, but the odds and weather more than make up for it.
Sonny Gray is a matchup that is slightly below average for righty power. However, the wind will be ripping out to left field at a massive 21 mph, and the temps are going to be in the high-70s, so the ball should be flying.
Kazuma Okamoto is a great power bat, and I have the true odds here around +420, making this a great bet.
Pick: Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Home Runs
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Twins vs Rangers Home Run Pick
Brandon Nimmo isn't a huge power bat, but the spot and the odds more than make up for it.
Joe Ryan is an extreme fly-ball pitcher with splits that are well above average, so he grades out as a great matchup for lefty power.
I have the true odds here around +420, making this a great bet.
Pick: Brandon Nimmo 1+ Home Runs
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White Sox vs Yankees Home Run Pick
These odds are low, but the spot for Ben Rice is great.
Sean Burke has been a great matchup for lefty power in his career, allowing a 1.40 HR/9.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temps in the high-80s and wind blowing out at 16 mph.
I have the true odds here around +220, making this a great bet.
Pick: Ben Rice o0.5 Home Runs
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Angels vs Athletics Home Run Pick
The righties for the Angels get a great spot.
Gage Jump will take the mound, and while he hasn't allowed a bomb this season, he's due for some massive regression.
Jump is sitting at a 37.5% fly-ball rate and 43.8% hard-contact rate vs. righties this season and grades out as a pitcher who will be around a 1.50 HR/9 to righties.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and winds will be blowing out at 12 mph, so the ball should be flying.
Jo Adell is a great power bat, and I have the true odds here around +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Jo Adell o0.5 Home Runs
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