It's a 12-game slate for Monday, starting at 6:05 p.m. ET with Giants vs Braves and wrapping up at 9:40 p.m. ET with Phillies vs Diamondbacks.
That gives us plenty to choose from as I bring you my home run picks for tonight.
Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Tonight.
MLB Home Runs Tonight
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Mets vs Rays
This is a plus spot for Juan Soto, and these odds are a bit too high.
Ian Seymour has been crushed by lefty power, allowing a 2.03 HR/9 for his career and a 2.45 HR/9 this season. This ballpark is a downgrade for Soto, but he is one of the best HR hitters in the league.
I have the true odds here around +320, making this a great bet.
Pick: Juan Soto o0.5 Home Runs (+375)
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Padres vs Reds
This is another one where the odds are astronomical.
Brady Singer has splits that are well above average, and he's been a gas can for lefty power this season, allowing a high 2.00 HR/9.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temps expected to be in the low-90s during game time.
I have the true odds here around +320 as well.
Pick: Jackson Merrill o0.5 Home Runs (+375)
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Brewers vs Cubs
This is a great spot for Suzuki.
Kyle Harrison is well above average, but he's struggled heavily with righty power, allowing a 1.60 HR/9 this season.
The weather in Wrigley should be a massive plus for hitting, with temps in the mid-80s and wind blowing out at 10 mph.
Harrison has allowed a lot of fly balls (45.1% FB% vs. righties this season), which should only make his struggles massively worse in this hitting environment.
I have the true odds here around +310.
Pick: Seiya Suzuki 1+ Home Runs (+377)
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Tigers vs Twins
Lee is having a surprisingly good power season, with 22 dingers thus far.
The matchup vs. Jackson Jobe is a plus for lefty power, as he's allowed a 1.40 HR/9 to lefties in his career. The weather in Minnesota should be a plus for hitting, with temps in the mid-80s and wind blowing out at 3 mph.
I have the true odds here around +700.
Pick: Brooks Lee 1+ Home Runs (+790)
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Phillies vs Diamondbacks
I have no idea why Schwarber's odds are so high in a plus spot, but I'm not going to argue.
Brandon Pfaadt has been a big plus matchup for lefty power this season (1.72 HR/9), and he's been an above-average matchup in his career (1.52 HR/9).
This ballpark is a downgrade for Schwarber, but he is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and the odds are way too high in a good spot.
I have the true odds around +270.
Pick: Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Home Runs (+310)
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