For Monday, August 25, I'm on 4 MLB home run props: Daulton Varsho, Vinnie Pasquantino, Julio Rodriguez and Shea Langeliers.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Monday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Monday, August 25
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:07 p.m. | |
| 7:40 p.m. | |
| 9:40 p.m. | |
| 10:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for August 25
Daulton Varsho (+350)
vs Twins (SP: RHP Joe Ryan)
When healthy this season, Daulton Varsho has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball, with 15 homers through 43 games. He gets a matchup vs. Joe Ryan, who has been better this season, but has large splits. Ryan has allowed a 1.29 HR/9 to lefties, and with a massive 50% fly-ball rate and a 32.3% hard-contact rate, he is due for some regression. I have the true odds here under +300, making this a great bet.
Vinnie Pasquantino (+360)
at White Sox (SP: RHP Shane Smith)
Vinnie Pasquantino is the hottest hitter in baseball right now, and even though his odds are going down, he's still priced too high. He has a dinger in six of his past seven games, and in the one game he didn't get one, he had two barrels. Opposing pitcher Shane Smith has had some massive splits this season and has been crushed by lefty power, giving up a high 1.66 HR/9. I have the true odds here at +300, making this a great bet.
Julio Rodriguez (+350)
vs Padres (SP: LHP JP Sears)
After a slow start, Julio Rodriguez has been on a tear since the beginning of July, with six homers this month and eight homers last month. He's looking like the same hitter we saw crush it when he first came into the league. The matchup vs. JP Sears is fantastic as Sears has been absolutely crushed by righty power this season, giving up a massive 1.83 HR/9. I have the true odds here around +275, making this a great bet.
Shea Langeliers (+500)
vs Tigers (SP: LHP Tarik Skubal)
Shea Langeliers has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball with 10 homers this month, and although the matchup is a tough one, these odds more than make up for it. Tarik Skubal is one of the best pitchers in the league, and while he's an incredibly tough matchup, he projects to allow only 20-30% fewer homers to righties compared to the league average. This ballpark is great for power, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temperatures in the high-80s and wind blowing out at 6 mph. I have the true odds here around +425, making this a great bet.
