The Cleveland Guardians (57-58) host the New York Mets (49-66) on August 6, 2026. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are +114 on the moneyline and -1.5 (+188) on the run line. The Guardians are -122 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-240) on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs (-115 / -105).
Find our MLB picks and Mets vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Guardians Predictions, Pick
- Mets vs Guardians Pick: Under 7.5 (-105)
Our Mets vs Guardians best bet is Under 7.5 total runs today. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Guardians Odds, Spread, Line
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +188 | 7 -115o / -105u | +114 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -240 | 7 -115o / -105u | -122 |
- Mets vs Guardians moneyline: Mets +114, Guardians -122
- Mets vs Guardians over/under: 7 (-115o / -105u)
- Mets vs Guardians spread: Mets -1.5 (+188), Guardians +1.5 (-240)
Mets vs Guardians Pitchers
| Nolan McLean (RHP, NYM) | Stat | Foster Griffin (LHP, CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | W-L | 12-3 |
| 2.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.8 |
| 3.29 / 3.56 | ERA / xERA | 3.06 / 4.10 |
| 3.47 / 3.34 | FIP / xFIP | 4.09 / 3.73 |
| 19.7 | K-BB% | 16.4 |
| 46.5 | GB% | 45.8 |
| .274 | BABIP | .256 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 97 | Location+ | 102 |
Mets vs Guardians Expert MLB Pick for Thursday
Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the total for this Mets vs. Guardians matchup.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, it'd be wise to check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
How To Bet My Mets vs Guardians Pick, Best Bet
BARTOLO projects the Mets for 3.69 runs and the Guardians for 3.35 this afternoon, which would bring the total under the line.
We have a great pitching duel between Nolan McLean and Foster Griffin, who came in at the trade deadline to bolster the Guardians' rotation.
Although his last outing was awful, Griffin has had a remarkable season with a 1.07 WHIP and a 3.06 ERA. Plus, the Cleveland bullpen is one of the best, ranking eighth in ERA this season with 3.81.
The Mets will miss Juan Soto, and the Guardians lineup is still weak, ranking 25th in MLB with a 93 wRC+ rating.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-105, FanDuel)
