For Thursday, September 4, I'm on 4 MLB home run props: Junior Caminero, Jo Adell, Yordan Alvarez and Giancarlo Stanton.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Thursday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Thursday, September 4
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:35 p.m. | |
| 7:40 p.m. | |
| 7:40 p.m. | |
| 7:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for September 4
Junior Caminero (+290)
vs Guardians (SP: LHP Logan Allen)
Junior Caminero has been one of the best home-run hitters in the league this season and one of the hottest lately, with 13 homers since the beginning of August. The matchup is fantastic as he'll be going up against Logan Allen, who has allowed a high 1.43 HR/9 in his career to righties. This ballpark is a plus, and the ball should fly well tonight, with temperatures in the mid-80s and high humidity. I have the true odds here around +220, making this a great bet.
Jo Adell (+360)
at Royals (SP: LHP Noah Cameron)
Jo Adell has been one of the hottest hitters in the league, with 12 homers since the beginning of August and a dinger in three straight games. We don't have a huge sample size on Noah Cameron in the Majors, but he's been an average matchup for righty power this season and grades out as a plus matchup. I don't love the ballpark, but I'm willing to ignore that because of the price and Adell's recent form. I have the true odds here around +300, making this a great bet.
Yordan Alvarez (+360)
vs Yankees (SP: LHP Carlos Rodon)
This is strictly a price play. The matchup isn't anything special going up against Carlos Rodon, who has been a big plus matchup for power in recent years, but has been an average one this season. However, Yordan Alvarez is one of the best home-run hitters in the league, and in an average spot, he's priced far too high here. I have the true odds around +300, making this a great bet.
Giancarlo Stanton (+270)
at Astros (SP: RHP Cristian Javier)
Giancarlo Stanton has been one of the best home-run hitters in the league since coming back from injury, with a massive 18 homers in 57 games. He gets a matchup vs. Cristian Javier, who has been a plus matchup for homers in his career, with a 1.31 HR/9 to righties and a massive 60% fly-ball rate. I have the true odds here around +225, making this a great bet.
