For Wednesday, June 25, I'm on four MLB home run props: Ketel Marte (against the White Sox), Kyle Tucker (against the Cardinals), Adolis Garcia (against the Orioles), and Nick Kurtz (against the Tigers).
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Wednesday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Wednesday, June 25
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 2:10 p.m. | |
| 6:35 p.m. | |
| 6:40 p.m. | |
| 7:45 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for June 25
Ketel Marte (+360)
at White Sox (SP: RHP Sean Burke)
Diamondbacks star Ketel Marte is having a career year — with 15 home runs in 53 games — and the underlying numbers have been fantastic — notably a 16% barrel rate.
The matchup against White Sox starter Sean Burke is a plus as the right-hander grades out as a fantastic matchup for lefty power.
The weather shouldn't be bad for HRs if the rain stays away, and the bullpen behind Burke is a bad one.
I have the true odds here under +300.
Adolis Garcia (+500)
at Orioles (SP: RHP Brandon Young)
I'm going right back to the well on the Rangers right-handed hitters.
The weather should be great again for hitting in Baltimore, with temps expected to be in the low 90s. We don't have a huge sample size of Orioles starter Brandon Young in the majors, but he's likely not major-league ready, and with his reverse splits, he grades out as an above-average matchup for righty power.
Adolis Garcia doesn't have a ton of homers this season, but the underlying numbers show he's due for some pretty massive positive HR regression.
I have the true odds here around +425, making this a great bet.
Nick Kurtz (+600)
at Tigers (SP: RHP Jack Flaherty)
Tigers starter Jack Flaherty has struggled heavily with power this season, giving up 1.86 HR/9 to lefties and 1.59 HR/9 to righties, with high fly-ball and hard-contact numbers.
Athletics rookie Nick Kurtz has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball this month — five home runs in 13 games — and the underlying numbers have been great, too.
Given the good matchup, I have the true odds here under +500.
Kyle Tucker (+400)
at Cardinals (SP: RHP Erick Fedde)
Kyle Tucker is in a great spot with a matchup against Erick Fedde. The Cardinals' right-hander hasn't allowed a ton of homers this season, but he's due for some negative regression, with high fly-ball and hard-contact numbers.
There will also be great hitting weather as temps should be in the low-90s with wind blowing out at 5 mph.
Tucker is one of the best hitters in the league and I have the true odds here around +350.
