MLB NRFI Picks: Monday Model Prediction for Mets vs Cardinals
Via Dustin Satloff/Getty Images. Pictured: Sean Manaea #59 of the New York Mets throws a pitch during the fourth inning of the game against the Detroit Tigers at Citi Field on April 01, 2024 in New York City.
We finished the week strong with a 3-1 day on Sunday — and the only loss came on an unearned run — bringing our total profit over 13 units on the season.
I have one NRFI pick and prediction for Monday, May 6 with a shorter slate today.
MLB NRFI Picks: Monday Model Prediction for Mets vs Cardinals
Starting Pitchers: Sean Manaea vs. Kyle Gibson
Sean Manaea hasn't been quite as strong as his 3.07 ERA this season overall, but his ERA the first time through the order is an excellent 1.35. Equally important, the Cardinals have been terrible against lefties this season, with a 67 wRC+ as a team.
There's a little bit more risk on the Mets side against Gibson, who's also due for some ERA regression in the near future. However, given the eight-run total and the lack of a threat on the other side, this is more than worth paying the limited juice.
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