My picks posted in the app over the weekend went 2-1 for a solid profit, as the lone loss was a half-unit single team line.
Let's keep that going into the week, where I have two plays on Monday.
Let's dive into my MLB NRFI and YRFI picks and model predictions.
MLB NRFI, YRFI Picks — June 9, 2025
Phillies vs. Cubs NRFI/YRFI Prediction
Starting Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Matthew Boyd
One of the reasons I'm interested in this game is that it's the rare spot where DraftKings has the best NRFI price in the market — and DraftKings is offering a YRFI/NRFI profit boost today.
There's another spot to use that profit boost token so the strategy comes down to your book availability. If you can get the -125 offered at BetMGM for this one, that would be my first choice. If not, take the boosted price of +106 at DraftKings.
Boyd and Wheeler have first time through the order numbers of 2.03 and 1.50 respectively, which is the biggest factor in my projection. We've also got solid pitching weather that cuts scoring by about 7% (over a 100+ game sample size), according to Weather Edge.
While both offenses are solid, this is a chance to test the adage that good pitching beats good hitting. I suspect it will, at least for an inning.
Athletics vs. Angels NRFI/YRFI Prediction
Starting Pitchers: Yusei Kikuchi vs. Jeffrey Springs
If you're able to bet the other game at BetMGM this is my preferred use of the profit boost, since it takes the line to a very solid +118 at DraftKings.
Springs is one of my favorite pitchers to pick on for YRFIs, as he has a 4.72 overall ERA as a starter but a 6.75 first time through the order ERA as a starter. While the Angels are on the wrong side of their platoon splits overall against the lefty, two of their first four projected hitters (Zach Neto and Taylor Ward) are on the better side.
The A's are also projecting fairly well due to the strength of the top of their lineup. While Kikuchi is better both overall and early, the A's are on the stronger side of their platoon splits overall, and both of their first two hitters have wOBAs of .400 or higher against lefties since the start of last year.
Plus, Kikuchi is due some overall regression, since he has a 3.23 ERA and all of his ERA predictors are 4.52 or higher.
