MLB PrizePicks Props: 5 Plays, Including Ryan Feltner, Charlie Blackmon, Johnny Cueto (Saturday, August 20)
Dustin Bradford/Getty Images. Pictured: Colorado Rockies pitcher Ryan Feltner
Saturday's MLB slate features 16 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
Enter PrizePicks.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Tuesday’s Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Saturday, August 20
Ryan Feltner Over 3 Strikeouts
We have the second matchup of this three-game NL West series with the Colorado Rockies hosting the San Francisco Giants. I'll be backing Colorado's starting pitcher in the strikeout department.
Ryan Feltner is certainly not very good, but this total is set too low as an over-adjustment to that fact. Reaching at least three strikeouts in eight of his 11 pitching appearances this season (73%), we should be able to push on this total at a minimum.
Since July 1, the Giants rank just 17th in the league in K% when facing right-handed pitchers. Their projected lineup for this game features plenty of strikeout-prone hitters, with seven of the nine starters possessing a K% north of 20%.
C.J. Cron Hitter Fantasy Score Over 8.5
We are also backing a few Colorado hitters in this contest as they are slated to go against right-hander Alex Cobb. Through 19 starts this season, Cobb is 4-6 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.
The first hitter we are backing is C.J. Cron. Colorado's best hitter this season, Cron should be able to keep It going against Cobb.
Through 21 career plate appearances against the Giants' right-hander, Cron boasts a .381 BA, .905 SLG, and .526 wOBA. Cron has dominated against right-handers this season, boasting a .293 BA, .527 SLG, and .869 OPS.
We should expect this domination to continue at home, a place where Cron's numbers are even better. When playing at Coors Field this season, Cron possesses a .308 BA, .595 SLG, and .948 OPS.
Charlie Blackmon Hitter Fantasy Score Over 8.5
The other Colorado hitter we are backing in this game is Charlie Blackmon. While Blackmon has only five career plate appearances against Cobb, he boasts a .290 xBA.
It is worth noting that Blackmon did miss yesterday's game with a hamstring injury, however, he is projected to play tonight. If he does not start, then this play is simply pushed out of the PrizePicks stack.
Like Cron, this specific matchup should benefit Blackmon. When facing right-handers this season, Blackmon possesses a .447 SLG and .747 OPS, with 15 of his 16 homers coming against them.
At home, Blackmon is even better as he boasts a .480 SLG and .818 OPS.
Johnny Cueto Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 24.5
We have the second matchup of this three-game AL Central series with the Cleveland Guardians hosting the Chicago White Sox. Right-hander Johnny Cueto is slated to take the mound for Chicago and should be a good candidate to back.
Cueto has been excellent this season, producing a 2.78 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through 17 appearances. He enters this game in particularly good form, going 3-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over his last seven starts.
This great pitching should continue against Cleveland, a team that Cueto has dominated in his career. Through eight career starts against the Guardians, Cueto is 4-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.
Shane Bieber Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 37.5
We are also backing Cleveland's starting pitcher, right-hander Shane Bieber, in this game. Producing yet another outstanding season, the former Cy Young award winner is 8-6 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.10 WHIP through 22 starts.
Like Cueto, Bieber enters this game in outstanding form. Over his last six starts, Bieber is 5-1 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.86 WHIP.
His metrics suggest that regression should not be a factor for Bieber, who possesses a .288 xwOBA, .242 xBA, and .373 xSLG this season. This strong pitching should continue against Chicago.
Over his 15 career starts against the White Sox, Bieber is 7-3 with a 2.75 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. We should get a pitcher's duel in this game, and I could see both starters going over their fantasy totals.
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