MLB PrizePicks Today, Featuring Rafael Devers, Freddie Freeman & Mookie Betts (Tuesday, June 13)
Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Mookie Better of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- With a 15-game MLB slate on deck, there are plenty of plays to be made at PrizePicks.
- Tony Sartori has a play that features Rafael Devers in Red Sox vs. Rockies, as well as Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts in Dodgers vs. White Sox.
- Read on for Sartori's full MLB PrizePicks breakdown for Tuesday, June 13.
We have a stacked 15-game MLB slate on Tuesday, which means there are plenty of entries to sift through on PrizePicks.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different player squares to pay out up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money if you don’t nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach Tuesday's MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player picks in which you combine two or more entries together.
Rafael Devers Fantasy Score More Than 7.5
We have the second installment of a three-game interleague series with the AL East's Boston Red Sox hosting the NL West's Colorado Rockies. Slated to take the mound for Colorado is right-hander Chase Anderson, who should be a good fade candidate in this matchup.
His surface-level stats are very strong, posting a 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP through seven appearances on the mound this season. However, his underlying metrics suggest that regression is looming.
Anderson ranks in the 49th percentile or lower in xERA/xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, K percentage and whiff rate.
A solid target to take advantage of this likely regression is Rafael Devers.
Devers boasts a .277 xBA, .555 xSLG and .375 xwOBA this season. In 10 career plate appearances against Anderson, Devers possesses a .300 BA, .400 SLG and .300 wOBA.
Finally, when facing right-handed pitching since 2021, Devers has posted a .283 BA, .565 SLG and .918 OPS.
Freddie Freeman Fantasy Score More Than 8.5
The first installment of another three-game interleague series gets underway on Tuesday evening with the NL West's Los Angeles Dodgers hosting the AL Central's Chicago White Sox. Chicago is set to send right-hander Lance Lynn to the bump, and he should be another excellent fade candidate.
In 13 starts this season, Lynn owns a 4-6 record with a 6.72 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. While those surface-level stats are poor, his underlying metrics are just as bad.
Lynn ranks in the 34th percentile or lower in hard-hit percentage, xERA/xwOBA, xBA, xSLG and barrel percentage.
The first Los Angeles hitter to back in this game is Freddie Freeman, who is putting together an MVP-caliber season. In 66 games, Freeman boasts a .338 BA, .586 SLG and .999 OPS. His underlying metrics are somehow even better with a .343 xBA, .625 xSLG and .436 xwOBA.
When facing right-handed pitching since 2021, Freeman owns a .330 BA, .530 SLG and .951 OPS. He has also surpassed 8.5 fantasy points in each of his past four games.
Mookie Betts Fantasy Score More Than 8.5
In a play with some solid correlation, we're also going to back the guy who hits in front of Freeman. Mookie Betts has been hot as well and has surpassed this number in four of his past five games.
This streak is likely to continue against Lynn, a pitcher he has previously dominated. In 20 career plate appearances against the right-hander, Betts boasts a .313 BA, .563 SLG and .396 wOBA.
Always a threat at the dish, Betts ranks in the 91st percentile or higher in average exit velocity, xwOBA and xSLG. Since 2021, he has produced a .258 BA, .495 SLG and .844 OPS against right-handed pitching.
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