MLB PrizePicks Today, Featuring Randy Arozarena, Aaron Judge, More (Friday, August 25)

MLB PrizePicks Today, Featuring Randy Arozarena, Aaron Judge, More (Friday, August 25) article feature image

Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Judge

We have a stacked 15-game MLB slate on Friday, which means there are plenty of entries to sift through on PrizePicks.

A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different player squares to pay out up to 10x your entry.

You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play provides lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.

Here’s how I would approach Friday's MLB slate.

What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player picks in which you combine two or more entries together.

Randy Arozarena Fantasy Score Less Than 7

Yankees vs. Rays, 6:40 p.m. ET | Gerrit Cole vs. Zach Eflin

The first installment of this three-game AL East series gets underway Friday evening with the second-place Tampa Bay Rays hosting the fifth-place New York Yankees.

Right-hander Gerrit Cole takes the mound for New York, and he should be a good candidate to back. The front-runner for the AL Cy Young award, Cole is 10-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.

Randy Arozarena is the first Tampa Bay hitter to fade. While it has been a strong campaign for Arozarena, he has not been playing his best ball lately.

Over his past 30 games, the outfielder possesses a .214 BA, .321 SLG and .655 OPS. These hitting woes are likely to continue against Cole, especially considering that Arozarena's splits take a roughly 20% drop when facing right-handed pitching since 2021.

Yandy Diaz Fantasy Score Less Than 6.5

Yankees vs. Rays, 6:40 p.m. ET | Gerrit Cole vs. Zach Eflin

The other Rays hitter to fade is Yandy Diaz.

Like Arozarena, Diaz also does not fare as well against right-handed pitching, with his splits taking an approximate 7% dip since 2021. Therefore, it is not surprising that Diaz possesses a fade-worthy .176 BA over his past 21 plate appearances against Cole.

There's a lot to like about Diaz and his stellar play at the dish this season, but in a matchup against Cole, I would rather back the right-hander, especially with this number set at 6.5.

Aaron Judge Fantasy Score Less Than 8.5

Yankees vs. Rays, 6:40 p.m. ET | Gerrit Cole vs. Zach Eflin

Speaking of going against excellent hitters, we are also going to fade superstar Aaron Judge in this contest as right-hander Zach Eflin takes the mound for Tampa Bay.

Through 24 starts this season, Eflin is 13-7 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. His underlying metrics suggest that regression is unlikely as the right-hander ranks in the 76th percentile or higher in average exit velocity, HardHit%, xERA/xwOBA and xBA.

Yes, Judge is obviously a monster at the plate, but 8.5 is a massive number in a contest against someone of Eflin's caliber. Judge has failed to surpass this figure in seven of his past 11 games.

Across his six career plate appearances against Eflin, Judge possesses a fade-worthy .167 BA, .167 SLG and .147 wOBA with two strikeouts. Finally, when facing right-handed pitching this year, his splits drop by roughly 10%.

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