Nationals vs. Cubs MLB Betting Odds, Predictions: Strong Wrigley Field Winds in Chicago Mean Total Has Value (August 10)
Quinn Harris/Getty Images. Pictured: Nico Hoerner of the Chicago Cubs.
Nationals vs. Cubs Odds
|Over/Under||7.5 (-114 / -108)|
|Date||Wednesday, Aug. 10|
|Time||2:20 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||MLB.tv|
*Odds are according to FanDuel as of Wednesday morning
A Wednesday matinee contest between the Marlins and Cubs fits a historically profitable algorithm that has returned 17% on investment since 2005.
This algorithm applies to games in which wind speeds are above five miles per hour at Wrigley Field, among other parameters.
If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit this betting system since 2005, you’d be up over $7,000. That’s roughly $425 per year. That’s a record of 254-166-22 (60% win rate) over a very lengthy sample size.
For reference, the annual average return of the S&P 500 — roughly the value of the American stock market — has been about 8% for over a century. That index is down about 14% year-to-date.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin, for instance, is down over49% during that same timeframe.
Still, don’t use this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing. The aforementioned figures are purely for reference.
The winds are slated to be about 5 miles per hour at first pitch, with those speeds expected to increase as the game continues.
Wrigley Field in particular has shown a strong historical correlation between how fast the wind is moving and how often the over or under hits, depending on which direction the breeze is headed.
Read further to see what other factors are implemented in this algorithm.