The Atlanta Braves host the New York Mets on August 11, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Braves are favored by -129 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +111 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
- Mets vs Braves Pick: Nolan McLean Under 5.5 K's
My Mets vs Braves best bet is a prop on New York's Starting Pitcher. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Braves Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +155 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +111 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -190 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -129 |
- Mets vs Braves moneyline: Mets +111, Braves -129
- Mets vs Braves over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Mets vs Braves spread: Braves -1.5 (+155 ), Mets +1.5 (-190)
Mets vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| RHP Nolan McLean (NYM) | Stat | LHP Martin Perez (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | W-L | 7-6 |
| 2.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 3.51 / 3.64 | ERA / xERA | 3.14 / 4.30 |
| 3.50 / 3.33 | FIP / xFIP | 4.22 / 4.14 |
| 19.7% | K-BB% | 9.3% |
| 45.9% | GB% | 47.3% |
| .284 | BABIP | .232 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 87 |
| 97 | Location+ | 102 |
Mets vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets come into this matchup with a 53-67 record and are 28-33 on the road. Nolan McLean has been solid recently, posting a 4.67 ERA with 21 strikeouts over his last three appearances, and he already has some success against Atlanta this season.
McLean faced the Braves on July 5 and picked up the win after delivering a quality start. That previous experience could be valuable as he gets another shot at Atlanta's lineup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves, meanwhile, are 71-48 and have been excellent at home with a 39-21 record. Martin Perez has been in much better form lately, posting a 1.80 ERA with 13 strikeouts across his last three starts.
Perez has also put together 12 straight scoreless innings over his last three outings. With the veteran lefty pitching at this level and Atlanta's strong home record, the Braves look like the clear side to back here.
Mets vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
While Nolan McLean possesses electric swing-and-miss stuff, fading his strikeout prop presents a strong analytical edge tonight. The Mets right-hander enters in solid form, but his high strikeout line sits at the upper limit of his projection profile, especially against an elite Braves lineup boasting a strong 39-21 home record.
Our Action Network PRO System projects McLean for just 5.45 strikeouts today, creating a solid 9.5% edge (B- Grade) against the market line of 5.5. When facing Atlanta earlier this season on July 5, McLean delivered a quality start to pick up the victory but ultimately failed to clear his strikeout threshold.
Trust the projection edge and back Nolan McLean Under 5.5 Strikeouts at +126
Pick: Nolan McLean Under 5.5 K's
