The Miami Marlins host the New York Mets on September 8, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Marlins are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
- Mets vs Marlins Pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 18.5 Outs (-150)
My Mets vs Marlins best bet is on Sandy Alcantara to record 18 or fewer outs today. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Marlins Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 8 -115o / -105u | +105 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8 -115o / -105u | -125 |
- Mets vs Marlins moneyline: Mets +105, Marlins -125
- Mets vs Marlins over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- Mets vs Marlins spread: Mets +1.5 (-190), Marlins -1.5 (+155)
Mets vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
| Sean Manaea (LHP, NYM) | Stat | Sandy Alcantara (RHP, MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | W-L | 13-9 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.5 |
| 4.70 / 4.98 | ERA / xERA | 3.54 / 3.66 |
| 4.61 / 4.29 | FIP / xFIP | 3.79 / 4.27 |
| 14.4 | K-BB% | 11.3 |
| 38.9 | GB% | 42.3 |
| .308 | BABIP | .275 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 97 | Location+ | 103 |
Mets vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
Editor's Note: This written pick is a transcription from today's episode of the Payoff Pitch Podcast.
By Derek Carty
I'm looking at Sandy Alcantara under 18.5 outs. I posted it on the Action Network app earlier and got it at -115, but you'll need to look for the best odds available. I like it all the way down to -200, though.
Props of 18.5 outs are always really tough because pitching into the seventh inning is not easy for anybody. The Marlins ace has been doing it a lot lately, but he's facing a good Mets offense today.
The BAT X is projecting only about 17 outs for Alcantara, so I'm comfortable taking the under here. Hopefully he's out after he hits the sixth-inning mark.
Also, this time of year we tend to see starters not going as deep into games just because the season is almost over and they're getting a little fatigued. So there are definitely multiple ways we can win this.
Pick: Sandy Alcantara Under 18.5 Outs (-150, BetMGM | Play to -200)
