The Pittsburgh Pirates host the New York Mets on August 9, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Pirates are favored by -140 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +123 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Pirates Prediction
- Mets vs Pirates Pick: Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts
My Mets vs Pirates best bet is on Sean Manaea to go under his strikeouts total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Pirates Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +149 | 8 -114o / -110u | +123 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -180 | 8 -114o / -110u | -140 |
- Mets vs Pirates moneyline: Mets +123, Pirates -140
- Mets vs Pirates over/under: 8 (-114o / -110u)
- Mets vs Pirates spread: Pirates -1.5 (+149 ), Mets +1.5 (-180)
Mets vs Pirates Probable Pitchers
| LHP Sean Manaea (NYM) | Stat | RHP Jared Jones (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L | 2-3 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 4.33/4.64 | ERA / xERA | 4.02/3.33 |
| 4.29/4.27 | FIP / xFIP | 3.82/3.58 |
| 14.0% | K-BB% | 20.1% |
| 38.7% | GB% | 38.3% |
| .316 | BABIP | .261 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 97 | Location+ | 108 |
Mets vs Pirates MLB Betting Preview
The New York Mets enter Sunday's rubber match searching for answers after a brutal 9-0 blowout loss at PNC Park on Saturday. The Mets offense managed just three hits on the night as Pittsburgh’s pitching staff dominated from top to bottom.
New York has struggled to find consistency over the middle stretch of the season, and their bats will need a quick turnaround if they hope to split or salvage momentum before heading out on their next road stint.
The Pittsburgh Pirates, meanwhile, come in riding high off Saturday’s complete-game performance. Behind strong run-support early and disciplined plate appearances—drawing 9 walks off Mets pitching—Pittsburgh cruised to a comfortable victory.
Playing at home in PNC Park, the Pirates are aiming to capture the series win by capitalizing on a fatigued Mets bullpen that had to cover heavy innings following Saturday’s early starter exit.
Mets vs Pirates Pick, Betting Analysis
Our PRO Projections system has flagged an edge on Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts.
While Sean Manaea remains a reliable arm capable of giving the Mets length, the underlying data and matchup dynamics heavily favor taking the under on his strikeout prop today:
Manaea's workload in recent outings has fluctuated, often keeping him capped at around the 5.0-to-5.2-inning threshold. Without deep 7+ inning outings, his baseline opportunities for high-volume strikeout numbers are significantly curtailed.
The Pirates' lineup demonstrated sharp discipline in yesterday's contest, working deep counts and forcing opposing pitchers to throw high pitch counts per inning. When hitters lay off standard put-away pitches outside the zone, Manaea relies more on inducing weak contact rather than outright swing-and-misses.
Our internal model projects Manaea to allow around 4.5 strikeouts in today's matchup, providing a comfortable margin against the posted 5.5 line.
Pick: Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts
