Orioles vs Rays Prediction Today | MLB Odds, Picks for Tuesday, June 20
Brandon Sloter/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Kyle Bradish
- The Rays have had an impressive start to the season, but the Orioles have had their number since their first series in May.
- While Tampa is regressing, Baltimore is on a hot streak that shows no signs of stopping.
- Find out why our analyst is backing the road underdog below.
Orioles vs. Rays Odds
The Tampa Bay Rays have looked like the best team in baseball for the first few months of the season. But even after their tremendous start, they have been unable to shake one team — the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles are hot on the Rays' tails, and this series could bring them even tighter in the AL East standings.
The Orioles were able to get a leg up on the Rays this season as they took the first two games of the series in May. Baltimore shut down the Rays' red-hot lineup, holding them to just three runs in those victories. However, the Orioles may have another path to victory in the opening game of this series.
Who will land the first blow in this critical divisional series? Let's take a closer look to find out and uncover the best bet for this matchup along the way.
The Orioles come into this matchup having won seven of their last 10 games, and their lineup has spurred this hot streak. They have been the No. 1 offensive team in baseball over the last two weeks as multiple guys have caught fire.
They will have a tall task ahead of them tonight, quite literally and figuratively, in the form of Rays ace Tyler Glasnow. Glasnow will be making just his fifth start of the season, and while he's been solid, he has some concerning numbers heading into this outing.
Glasgow's ERA of 3.43 is very deceiving as he's been fortunate to keep it that low. His ability to rack up strikeouts has saved him — when opposing batters have put the ball in play, the ball has been hit hard. Glasnow has a hard-hit rate of 51% through four starts.
He is in a bad spot against an Orioles lineup that is seeing the ball well right now. Don't be shocked if this is Glasnow's first clunker of the season.
The Rays have steadily begun to come back to Earth after tearing the cover off the ball to begin the season. What's interesting is that they are still outperforming expectations offensively, meaning their regression is due to continue.
Tampa has dropped from third to eighth in xwOBACON over the last few weeks. The Rays' team xBA is now 12 points lower than their actual team batting average.
They will be up against Kyle Bradish tonight, who is a good matchup for this lineup. Bradish has been serviceable this season as he enters with a 3.90 ERA, but he has given up quite a bit of loud contact and is due for some regression.
The Rays will have to get to Bradish as they may not have much success against the bullpen. The Orioles' bullpen has been a big part of their success this season — they come into this matchup boasting the sixth-best ERA in the league.
Orioles vs. Rays Betting Pick
This is a matchup of two teams trending in opposite directions. The Orioles have been hot while the Rays are steadily regressing from their early-season heater.
Baltimore has momentum on its side, as well as some clear edges in this matchup. The Orioles' bats should get to Glasnow, who is overdue to pay for his mistakes in the zone.
On the other side, Bradish does not instill the most confidence, but the Baltimore pen should be able to pick him up even if he falters.
Back the Orioles in this one. They should be nowhere near this long of an underdog.
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