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Padres vs. Mets MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Back This Same-Game Parlay to Bet for Sunday Night Baseball (July 24)

Padres vs. Mets MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Back This Same-Game Parlay to Bet for Sunday Night Baseball (July 24) article feature image
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Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images. Pictured: San Diego Padres starting pitcher Joe Musgrove.

  • The Padres take on the Mets in Sunday's featured showdown on the stacked card.
  • Analyst Nick Shlain has put together for a juicy parlay at big odds.
  • Check out his trio of picks below.

Padres vs. Mets Odds

Padres Odds +105
Mets Odds -130
Over/Under 8 (-105/-115)
Time 7:08 p.m. ET
TV ESPN
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

While the New York Mets still hold a half-game lead in the National League East Division entering Sunday’s action, the San Diego Padres hold one of the National League wild-card spots if the season ended at this moment.

These are certainly teams with the potential to meet down the road when it’s important in the playoffs. That said, I’ve laid out three plays for a multi-leg parlay at big odds ahead of this showdown.

The Parlay (+600):

  • Padres Moneyline
  • Joe Musgrove — 6+ Strikeouts
  • Jurickson Profar — 2+ total bases

Same-Game Parlay: Padres vs. Mets

Padres Moneyline

While the Mets are the clear favorite at -125, the model I use actually prefers the Padres slightly in this game, making them a screaming value at +105  moneyline odds.

The Padres are on the road, which might seem like a concern, but San Diego has a 29-21 record away from home this year. San Diego has the advantage at starting pitcher in this game as Musgrove has a 2.42 ERA going up against Carlos Carrasco, who has a 4.09 xFIP this season.

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Joe Musgrove — 6+ Strikeouts

Musgrove is yet to face the Mets this season, but he’s been a consistently good strikeout pitcher this year as he ranks 18th in all of baseball among qualified starters with a 24% strikeout percentage.

The Mets lineup isn’t a strikeout heavy lineup as the combined projected lineup for New York has just a 19% K% this year. Still, Musgrove has hit this number in 12 of his 16 starts this season.

Sandy Alcantara is having an absolutely fantastic season, but it’s no surprise Musgrove is also among the leading contenders for the National League Cy Young award this season.

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Jurickson Profar — 2+ Total Bases

Profar isn’t the best hitter on the Padres, but he’s left-handed and that gives him the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco, who has allowed a .188 ISO to left-handed hitters this year.

Profar has a .164 ISO and more importantly a 25% line drive percentage (which leads the Padres) against right-handed pitching this year. Carrasco’s K% goes up to 26% against left-handed batters, but Profar also has a 17% strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching, which is one of the lower marks.

He also takes his at-bats out of the leadoff spot regularly, which could get him an extra at-bat late in the game. Profar has a .625 average and one home run in eight career at-bats against Carrasco.

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