The Colorado Rockies host the Philadelphia Phillies on April 4, 2026. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH+.
The Phillies are favored by -240 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +195 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Phillies vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction
- Phillies vs Rockies Pick: Jesus Luzardo Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115)
Our Phillies vs Rockies best bet is Under 6.5 strikeouts for Jesus Luzardo tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Rockies Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -150 | 10.5 -105o / -115u | -240 |
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +125 | 10.5 -105o / -115u | +195 |
- Phillies vs Rockies spread: Phillies -1.5 (-150), Rockies +1.5 (+125)
- Phillies vs Rockies over/under: 10.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Phillies vs Rockies moneyline: Phillies -240, Rockies +195
Phillies vs Rockies Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | Stat | RHP Chase Dollander (COL) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 9.00 / 2.86 | ERA /xERA | 9.00 / 7.24 |
| 5.68 / 2.82 | FIP / xFIP | 11.93 / 4.76 |
| 1.17 | WHIP | 1.75 |
| 24.0 | K-BB% | 15.8 |
| 52.9 | GB% | 33.3 |
| 114 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 93 | Location+ | 106 |
Phillies vs Rockies Preview
Action PRO projects Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo for 5.8 strikeouts in their matchup against the Rockies at Coors Field tonight, giving us a nice 12.7% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 6.5, which is good enough to tag the Under with a B+ grade in our system.
He already fanned seven batters in his first outing of the season, completing six innings against the Rangers, with six earned runs and six hits allowed.
We know Luzardo can rack up Ks, as he has surpassed 200 strikeouts in the last two seasons.
The question is whether he will be able to stay on the mound for long in Colorado's altitude, given the inconsistency shown last season during May, June and July (with an ERA over 5.00 each month) and in this first 2026 start.
You can fade him tonight on his strikeouts line against a mostly-righties Rockies lineup.
Pick: Jesus Luzardo Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115, Fanatics)
