Pirates vs Giants Prediction, Odds: MLB Picks, Preview for Wednesday, July 30

Pirates vs Giants Prediction, Odds: MLB Picks, Preview for Wednesday, July 30 article feature image
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Credit: Imagn Images. Pictured: Pittsburgh Pirates RP David Bednar (left), San Francisco Giants SP Logan Webb (right).

This article contains predictions for an old game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (46-62) and San Francisco Giants (54-54) will face off in the MLB this afternoon. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 3:45 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on SportsNet PT.

San Francisco is a -210 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is +170 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 7.5 total runs.

Continue below for my Pirates vs. Giants predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, July 30, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

Quickslip

Pirates vs Giants Picks, Prediction

  • Pirates vs Giants pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-125)

Pirates vs Giants Odds for Wednesday, July 30

Pirates Logo
Wednesday, July 30
3:45 p.m. ET
SportsNet PT
Giants Logo
Pirates Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-125
7.5
+105o / -125u
+170
Giants Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+105
7.5
+105o / -125u
-210
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
BetMGM Logo

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants MLB Preview

Giants' starting pitcher Logan Webb was walloped in July (7.36 ERA), but his season-long metrics are still strong (3.61 xERA, 2.72 xFIP, 20.2% K-BB, 30.3% CSW).

Even better, Webb almost always performs better at home (career 2.91 xFIP, 18.2% K-BB) compared to on the road (career 3.40 xFIP, 15.4% K-BB).

The Pirates are the softest matchup Webb has faced in six weeks (81 wRC+ vs. RHP in 2025, 65 wRC+ vs. RHP over the past month).

In mid-June, he shut down the similarly ranked Guardians lineup to the tune of seven one-run innings with nine strikeouts and no walks.

These are two strong bullpens — San Francisco’s bullpen has been elite over the past month (3.51 xFIP, second), while Pirates closer David Bednar remains one of the NL's best (2.37 ERA, 1.96 WHIP, 33.1% K).

Additionally, Ron Kulpa is a pitcher-friendly umpire (career 308-230-26, 57.2% win, 9.9% ROI).

I project 6.7 runs for this game and would bet the Under 7.5 at -122 or better.

Pirates vs Giants Best Bet

  • Under 7.5 (-125)

Pirates vs Giants Betting Trends



Pirates vs Giants Weather


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About the Author
Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

Follow Sean Zerillo @SeanZerillo on Twitter/X.

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