Rays vs Reds Prediction Today | MLB Odds, Picks, Parlay for Tuesday, April 18
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Randy Arozarena
Rays vs. Reds Odds
-110 / -110
-110 / -110
The Tampa Bay Rays lost 8-1 to the Cincinnati Reds on Monday. Tampa Bay’s loss was just its third all year. After starting the season 13-0, the Rays have now lost three of their last four games.
The Reds won three of their first four games of the season, but have since gone 4-8 and now sit at 7-9 in fourth place in the National League Central.
Will the Rays be able to get back to their winning ways in Cincinnati with a rookie pitcher on the mound in this one?
The Parlay (452):
- Taj Bradley 5+ Strikeouts
- Randy Arozarena 2+ Total Bases
- Rays -1.5
Same-Game Parlay – Rays vs. Reds
Taj Bradley 5+ Strikeouts
Bradley is a rookie making his second major league start of his career, but he was very impressive in his debut. Bradley faced 20 batters against the Boston Red Sox in his last start and he struck out eight of them while allowing just five hits, one walk, and three earned runs.
Last year, Bradley struck out 21% of hitters at Triple-A after striking out 30% of hitters at Double-A. There’s quite a few hitters that struggle making contact in the Reds’ lineup as seven of their projected starters here had at least a 21% strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching last season.
I have Bradley projected for five strikeouts here to start off the same game parlay.
Randy Arozarena 2+ Total Bases
This one is fairly simple: Arozarena is the Rays’ best player and this is a good matchup for him.
Last season, Arozarena had a .242 ISO against left-handed pitching. The Reds’ scheduled starter Nick Lodolo is left-handed. Lodolo is great at preventing power against left-handed hitters as he allowed a .022 ISO to left-handed hitters last season. However, Arozarena is right-handed and Lodolo allowed a .175 ISO to right-handed hitters last season.
Cincinnati is also a great ballpark for hitters, which helps. By taking Arozarena 2+ total bases, all we need to cover this prop is a double or two singles and he’s in a good spot to get us there.
The Rays have lost three of their last four games including the opening game of this series to Cincinnati. Still, it’s baseball and you can’t keep a good team down for very long.
The Rays are a better team overall. They have a rookie on the mound going against the more established Lodolo, but Tampa Bay will also be able to roll out a lineup stacked with right-handed hitters that should give him trouble.
With the better lineup and bullpen, I think the Rays will be able to take advantage of the Reds here and by taking them on the run line we improve the overall odds of the same game parlay.
Rays all day.
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