The Baltimore Orioles host the Los Angeles Angels on August 6, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Orioles are favored by -164 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Angels are +138 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Angels vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Angels vs Orioles Prediction
- Angels vs Orioles Pick: Orioles -1.5
My Angels vs Orioles best bet is on Baltimore to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Angels vs Orioles Odds
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -154 | 10 -104o / -118u | +138 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +128 | 10 -104o / -118u | -164 |
- Angels vs Orioles moneyline: Angels +138, Orioles -164
- Angels vs Orioles over/under: 10 (-104 / -118)
- Angels vs Orioles spread: Angels +1.5 (-154), Orioles -1.5 (+128)
Angels vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| RHP Ryan Johnson (LAA) | Stat | RHP Brandon Young (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | W-L | 8-2 |
| -0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.7 |
| 7.63 / 5.33 | ERA / xERA | 3.31 / 4.31 |
| 6.31 / 5.25 | FIP / xFIP | 3.91 / 4.42 |
| 8.1% | K-BB% | 11.2% |
| 34.4% | GB% | 41.3% |
| .293 | BABIP | .281 |
| 90 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 94 | Location+ | 105 |
Angels vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview, Analysis
The Angels will give Ryan Johnson another chance in the rotation after sending Jose Soriano to the Blue Jays. Perhaps an extended look in the rotation will help Johnson.
Johnson is pitching to a 7.63 ERA with a 5.33 xERA and 6.31 FIP. His other data points, such as his 7.24 K/9, 3.91 BB/9, and a 2.35 HR/9, are very poor.
I view the home run woes as the most concerning. If a pitcher gives up a solo shot here and there, that's passable. But to give up over two homers per nine with a walk rate nearing four is a recipe for disaster.
He also hasn't given the Angels much length, throwing more than five innings just once this season. It's not as if the Angels are pulling him to avoid him facing the order a third time; he just racks up so many pitches due to his lack of command.
That's an even bigger issue with the Angels' dreadful bullpen needing to soak up 15 outs. Not only did Los Angeles deal most of its bullpen, the one big righty arm it kept, Sam Bachman, is now on the IL. The bullpen has just three pitchers who have spent real time in the bigs this year: Lefties Samy Natera and Mitch Farris and righty Jose Fermin.
Offensively, the Angels have the second-worst wRC+ (78) in the league since July 1st. A few major issues stand out right away. For one, they have 17 homers in that span, the lowest by at least five homers. They also have a horrid plate approach, leading to a 26% strikeout rate and a 7.4% walk rate.
It's impossible to be a good offense by being the worst power-hitting team in the league while also swinging and missing the most.
In a year with very few surprises in Baltimore, the development of Brandon Young is one of the best. The 27-year-old looks like a mainstay in this Orioles rotation, boasting a 3.31 ERA with a decent 4.31 xERA and 3.91 FIP.
I'm not as bullish on Young as his ERA is. I fall more in line with the expected numbers because nothing about his game really stands out. His velocity is middle of the road, averaging 94 mph on his four-seamer with just a 7.40 K/9.
Young does a lot of his damage by inducing weak fly balls. He's a fly-ball-heavy pitcher, with 38% of his outs coming in the air, but his HR/9 is just 0.96. The good news for Young is the Angels have no power and don't hit homers. That fits right into his style.
Now, let's take a look at the Orioles offense, which lost a few cogs at the deadline in Taylor Ward and Adley Rutschman. I think Baltimore has enough offensive weaponry to make Johnson pay for his walk and homer issues. They lead the league with an 11% walk rate since July 1st, which really stands out since Baltimore is just 16th in wRC+.
It would help if Gunner Henderson could start living up to the back of his baseball card, as his .687 OPS this year isn't getting the job done. Pete Alonso has picked up the slack with his home-run hitting prowess. Lately, Tyler O'Neill has enjoyed one of his torrid stretches he goes on yearly, cracking six homers in his past 20 games.
I'll take plus money with the Orioles run line here. The current iteration of the Angels is easily the worst team in the league. They have a terrible offense with two MLB-caliber bats (Mike Trout and Zach Neto), and Neto is very streaky. Not to mention, Johnson has an ERA over 7.00 with few signs of positive regression, and their bullpen is also one of the worst in MLB. I expect a convincing win from the home team on this getaway day.
Pick: Orioles -1.5
