The Atlanta Braves host the San Diego Padres on May 23, 2025. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SDPA.
Read our Padres vs Braves prediction and MLB player prop picks below.
My Padres vs Braves Prediction
Padres vs Braves Picks:
My Padres vs Braves best bet is on two home run props. Check our live MLB odds page to find the best odds.
Padres vs Braves Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -144 | 7.5 -120o / -100u | +150 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 7.5 -120o / -100u | -178 |
Dylan Wilkerson’s Padres vs Braves Preview
San Diego Padres Player Prop: Home Run Prop No. 1
During game time, the wind should blow out toward center field at about eight MPH, making the environment relatively hitter-friendly.
Xander Bogaerts is 7-for-23 lifetime against Braves starting pitcher Chris Sale with a home run and a 16-degree average launch angle.
Although Boagerts has yet to tally a homer off a lefty on the year, he is batting .283 against the side, so the process seems sound.
Bogaerts is an excellent long-shot bet to go yard on Friday against the defending NL Cy Young winner.
Pick: Xander Bogaerts Home Run (+900, FanDuel)
Atlanta Braves Player Prop: Home Run Prop No. 2
I’m betting this based on the matchup.
In 31 lifetime at-bats against Padres starting pitcher Nick Pivetta, Marcell Ozuna has six home runs in eight hits.
Ozuna boasts a 22.9% pulled fly-ball rate, crucial for generating power.
Meanwhile, Pivetta is overperforming (2.86 ERA, 3.57 xERA), and his pulled fly-ball rate allowed has consistently increased throughout his career (20% this season).
Pivetta has avoided runs, but his old pal Ozuna could force looming regression, especially with the projected hitter-friendly weather conditions.
Pick: Marcell Ozuna Home Run (+320, FanDuel)
