The Seattle Mariners host the San Diego Padres on August 26, 2025. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on ROOT Sports NW.
Find my MLB betting preview and Padres vs Mariners prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Padres vs Mariners Prediction
- Padres vs Mariners picks: Under 8
My Padres vs Mariners best bet is on game totals with the best odds currently on Fanatics. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Mariners Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +162 | 8 -105o / -114u | -105 |
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -196 | 8 -105o / -114u | -115 |
Padres vs Mariners Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Dylan Cease (SDP) | Stat | RHP Luis Castillo (SEA) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | W-L | 8-7 |
| 2.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 4.71 / 3.52 | ERA /xERA | 3.57 / 4.39 |
| 3.65 / 3.52 | FIP / xFIP | 4.01 / 4.18 |
| 1.32 | WHIP | 1.27 |
| 20.3% | K-BB% | 14.1% |
| 35.5% | GB% | 41.6% |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 100 | Location+ | 105 |
Padres vs Mariners Prediction, Betting Analysis
This system targets unders in MLB series games (Game 2 or later) where both teams have winning records, suggesting quality pitching and competitive matchups.
However, public betting leans toward the over ā likely expecting fireworks between top teams ā which creates contrarian value on the under.
By capitalizing on low public support for the under (ā¤35%), the strategy fades public perception in favor of market inefficiencies, especially when bettors overestimate offensive output late in a series.
Pick: Under 8
