The San Diego Padres host the San Francisco Giants on August 19, 2025. First pitch from PETCO Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SDPA.
Find my MLB betting preview and Giants vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Giants vs Padres Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -117 | 8 -105o / -115u | +180 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -103 | 8 -105o / -115u | -221 |
Giants vs Padres Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Kai-Wei Teng (SFG) | Stat | RHP Nick Pivetta (SDP) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 12-4 |
| -0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.3 |
| 9.90 / 4.90 | ERA /xERA | 2.87 / 3.76 |
| 5.52 / 6.19 | FIP / xFIP | 3.27 / 3.80 |
| 1.90 | WHIP | 0.95 |
| 0.0% | K-BB% | 19.5% |
| 35.5% | GB% | 33.1% |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 89 | Location+ | 101 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction, Betting Analysis
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity—ranging from 45 to 95—intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has subtly corrected as well, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest—between 6 and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Pick: Under 8
