Saturday MLB Props, PrizePicks Plays: 5 Picks, Including Julio Rodriguez & Mike Yastrzemski (June 25)
Stephen Brashear/Getty Images. Pictured: Julio Rodriguez.
- Our MLB props analyst has five PrizePicks plays ready for Saturday night.
- He's eying three picks in the Reds vs. Giants matchup and another two in the Mariners vs. Angels game.
- Check out Tony Sartori's picks and analysis below.
Saturday’s MLB slate features 15 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Tuesday’s Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Saturday, June 25
Logan Webb Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 37.5
San Francisco Giants right-hander Logan Webb is slated to take the mound in the second game of this series against the Cincinnati Reds tonight at 7:15 p.m. ET, and he should be a good candidate to back in this contest.
Through 14 starts this season, Webb is 6-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. His metrics are just as strong as Webb boasts a .307 xwOBA, .261 xBA, and .405 xSLG.
In his one appearance against the Reds last season, Webb threw six shutout innings and collected four strikeouts. Webb also enters this game in particularly good form as he has gone over this total in three of his last five starts (60%).
Since May 1st, the Reds rank just 24th in the league in BA, 26th in SLG, 25th in OPS, and 25th in wOBA when facing right-handed pitchers on the road.
Darin Ruf Hitter Fantasy Score Over 6.5
I am also backing a few Giants hitters in this contest as they are slated to go against left-hander Mike Minor. Through four starts this season, Minor is 1-3 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.
Minor’s metrics are just as poor as he possesses a .364 xwOBA and .535 xSLG this season. In 16 career plate appearances against Minor, Ruf boasts a .364 BA, .636 SLG, and .464 wOBA.
Ruf is much better against left-handers this season as his numbers jump by about 35%. Going over this fantasy total in two of his last three outings (67%), Ruf could be a good candidate to back once again as he is starting to heat up.
Mike Yastrzemski Hitter Fantasy Score Over 6.5
Mike Yastrzemski is the other Giants hitter I’m backing in this matchup. While he has only three plate appearances against Minor, he has collected a double and a walk over those few at-bats.
Like Ruf, Yastrzemski is starting to turn around his performance in June as he has gone over this fantasy total in two of his last four games (50%). Going against a struggling pitcher and a poor bullpen, Yastrzemski should go over this number once again.
Dylan Moore Over 0.5 Total Bases
The Los Angeles Angels host the Seattle Mariners in the second game of their series in the final wave of games at 10:10 p.m. ET tonight. I am backing a couple of Seattle batters in this contest as they are slated to go against left-hander Patrick Sandoval.
The first hitter I am backing is Dylan Moore. While Moore has been struggling mightily as of late, this is a great opportunity to buy low on him as he has had great success against Sandoval.
In 10 career plate appearances against Sandoval, Moore boasts a .400 BA, .800 SLG, and .506 wOBA. In their game against Sandoval and the Angels on June 18th, Moore homered in the third inning off of the left-hander.
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Runs + RBIs
The other Seattle batter I am backing in this game is Julio Rodriguez. Seattle’s star rookie looks to continue his great year as he has gone over this total in five of his last eight games (63%).
As I mentioned above, Seattle squared off against Sandoval just last week. In that game, Rodriguez recorded an RBI single. While Rodriguez went 0-3 in his three at-bats against Sandoval in that game, he produced a .345 xBA, .772 xSLG, and .454 xwOBA.
Rodriguez should positively regress against Sandoval based on those metrics, and I would not be shocked if he records a few extra-base hits in this outing.
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