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Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Saturday, August 1

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Saturday, August 1 article feature image
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Photo Credit: Brian Fluharty-Imagn Images
Pictured: Kevin Gausman pitches

The Toronto Blue Jays host the St. Louis Cardinals on August 1, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CARD.

The Blue Jays are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cardinals are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Cardinals vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction

  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays Pick: Under 8.5 (-108 | Play to -115)

My Cardinals vs Blue Jays best bet is under 8.5 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Cardinals vs Blue Jays Odds

Cardinals Logo
Saturday, Aug 1
3:07 p.m. ET
CARD
Blue Jays Logo
Cardinals Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-200
8.5
-110o / -110u
+120
Blue Jays Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+164
8.5
-110o / -110u
-130
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays moneyline: Cardinals +120, Blue Jays -130
  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+164), Cardinals +1.5 (-200)

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Quinn MathewsStatKevin Gausman
MLB DebutW-L4-10
fWAR (FanGraphs)2.4
ERA / xERA4.51 / 3.94
FIP / xFIP3.57 / 3.81
K-BB%17.1
GB%37.6
BABIP.305
Stuff+98
Location+108

Cardinals vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview

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St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

Left-hander Quinn Mathews makes his MLB debut for the Cardinals on Saturday, and he could be a good candidate to back. The No. 6-ranked prospect in St. Louis' organization, Mathews was selected in the fourth round of the 2023 MLB Draft.

A southpaw with a tall frame, Mathews struggled upon his first promotion to AAA. However, 2026 has proved to be a huge maturity year for the Stanford alum.

In 19 starts for the Memphis Redbirds this season, Mathews is 5-3 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He battled injuries following a stellar start to his minor league career, which could explain his dip in production upon his call-up to AAA in 2025.

That said, he's fully healthy this year and proving that he can get back to the form that left him touted as MLB Pipeline's Pitching Prospect of the Year in 2024.

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Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays hand the ball to right-hander Kevin Gausman. A veteran who uses a simple three-pitch arsenal, Gausman's underlying metrics suggest that he has pitched better than his surface-level stats indicate.

Entering this matchup, the right-hander ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, average exit velocity, strikeout rate and walk rate. This expected positive regression is likely to occur against St. Louis, a team he has fared well against throughout his career.

Over the past nine meetings, Gausman owns a 2.27 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Furthermore, the Cardinals have struggled at the dish.


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Cardinals vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis

This season, St. Louis ranks in the bottom half of the league in hits per game, batting average, slugging percentage and OPS. Not that Toronto is any better.

Entering this matchup, the Blue Jays rank in the bottom four in runs scored per game, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS. It also won't help Toronto's cause that not a single player in this lineup has faced Mathews prior to Saturday.

Pick: Under 8.5 (-108 | Play to -115)


Cardinals vs Blue Jays Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.

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