The Cleveland Guardians (64-66) and Tampa Bay Rays (64-67) will face off in the MLB today. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
Cleveland is a -125 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is +105 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 8 total runs.
Continue below for my Rays vs Guardians prediction and MLB picks for Monday, August 25, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Our Rays vs Guardians Prediction
- Rays vs Guardians pick: Under 8
Our Guardians vs. Rays best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Guardians Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 8 -102o / -118u | +105 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 8 -102o / -118u | -125 |
Rays vs Guardians Betting Preview, Picks
Tampa Bay rolled to a 9-0 win in the opener, powered by Junior Caminero’s two home runs and a 14-hit attack. Yandy Díaz added a blast, Carson Williams chipped in with two hits and two RBI, and rookie Ian Seymour struck out eight over five one-hit innings.
The victory was the Rays’ third straight, while the Guardians have now lost six in a row and nine of 10 overall, including three consecutive shutouts.
On the mound, Shane Baz starts for Tampa Bay. The right-hander has shown poise under pressure, holding hitters to a .214/.283/.434 line with runners in scoring position. Cleveland turns to rookie Parker Messick, who impressed in his debut by limiting Arizona to one run across 6 2/3 innings.
This matchup also lines up with Evan Abrams’ “Public Fades Humidity = Unders” system. Despite a common perception that humidity boosts offense, games in moderate weather with elevated humidity and neutral winds have actually leaned heavily toward the Under.
In these situations, the home team’s recent five-game over rate has sat below 40%, reflecting poor offensive rhythm. The betting market has also shaded the total downward, while public action on the Over remains limited—between 6% and 29%.
Rays vs Guardians Best Bet
- Under 8 (-125, Fanatics)
Rays vs Guardians Betting Trends
