Rays vs Twins Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, July 4

Rays vs Twins Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, July 4 article feature image
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Pictured: Junior Caminero. (Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images)

The Minnesota Twins host the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday, July 4, 2025. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FanDuel Sports Sun and Twins TV.

Find my MLB betting preview and Rays vs Twins prediction for the Friday series opener below.

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My Rays vs Twins Prediction

  • Rays vs Twins pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375) 

My Rays vs Twins best bet is Caminero to hit a homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Rays vs Twins Odds

Rays Logo
Friday, Jul 4
4:10 p.m. ET
FDSSUN
Twins Logo
Rays Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+150
10
-110o / -110u
-105
Twins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-185
10
-110o / -110u
-115
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Rays vs Twins Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Zack Littell (TBR)StatRHP Chris Paddack (MIN)
7-7W-L3-7
0.3fWAR (FanGraphs)0.9
3.61/4.56ERA /xERA4.70/4.69
5.11/4.15FIP / xFIP4.47/4.73
1.07WHIP1.23
13.9%K-BB%10.3%
41.7%GB%36.6%
85Stuff+94
104Location+113

Rays vs Twins Prediction, Betting Preview

Rays star Junior Caminero is in a great spot, and these odds for him to hit a home run are a bit too high.

The weather in Minnesota should be great for hitting, with winds blowing strongly toward left field and temperatures in the low 90s.

Twins starter Chris Paddack is a favorable matchup for right-handed power, having allowed 1.37 HR/9 over his career. While he's been better this season, he's due for some negative regression.

I have the true odds here about 50 points lower, making this a great bet.

Pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375; bet365) 


Rays vs Twins Betting Trends


Rays vs Twins Weather


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