The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday, May 23, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on YES and Rays.TV.
The Yankees are favored by -142 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rays are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rays vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs Yankees Prediction
- Rays vs Yankees Pick: Over 7 (-115); Bet to Over 7.5 (Play to -125)
My Rays vs Yankees best bet is the game total to go over 7. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Yankees Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -188 | 7 -115o / -105u | +120 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 7 -115o / -105u | -142 |
- Rays vs Yankees moneyline: Rays +120, Yankees -142
- Rays vs Yankees over/under: 7 (-115o / -105u)
- Rays vs Yankees spread: Rays +1.5 (-188), Yankees -1.5 (+155)
Rays vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| RHP Drew Rasmussen (TB) | Stat | LHP Ryan Weathers (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 3.19 / 3.39 | ERA / xERA | 3.58 / 4.13 |
| 3.75 / 3.20 | FIP / xFIP | 3.52 / 2.76 |
| 18.6% | K-BB% | 23.5% |
| 48.5% | GB% | 43.4% |
| .242 | BABIP | .295 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 113 | Location+ | 115 |
Rays vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
Right-hander Drew Rasmussen has been fantastic for the Rays this season. However, there have been nine or more total runs scored in each of his past two starts.
This trend reflects how well Tampa Bay has performed at the plate. Entering this matchup, the Rays rank eighth in MLB in runs scored per game.
The Rays' greatest strength is their ability to produce runs with both contact and power. This season, Tampa Bay ranks second in hits per game, third in batting average, 12th in slugging percentage and seventh in OPS.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The Rays’ success at the plate is likely to continue against Yankees left-hander Ryan Weathers. In five combined plate appearances against Weathers, the current Rays roster owns a .500 slugging percentage.
Obviously, a five-plate-appearance sample size is minimal. However, Weathers’ 50-plus innings of work this season also suggest Saturday is a good time to sell high.
Despite some solid surface-level results, Weathers’ underlying metrics suggest he has survived despite below-average pitching. This season, he ranks in the bottom half of the league in xERA and xBA.
Rays vs Yankees Pick, Betting Analysis
Specifically, Weathers is allowing hard contact that does not align with his results thus far. Entering this contest, he ranks in the 39th percentile in average exit velocity, 14th percentile in barrel rate and 26th percentile in hard-hit rate.
That is a dangerous profile against a hard-hitting Rays lineup. Junior Caminero, Yandy Díaz, Jonathan Aranda and Nick Fortes all rank in the top half of the league this season in hard-hit rate.
Meanwhile, the Yankees lineup needs little introduction. This season, the Yankees rank sixth in runs scored per game, third in slugging percentage, third in OPS and first in home runs.
Pick: Over 7 (-115); Bet to Over 7.5 (Play to -125)
