The Arizona Diamondbacks (69-71) host the Texas Rangers (72-68) on September 3, 2025. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on ARID.
The Diamondbacks enter Wednesday game as -140 favorites on the moneyline, with the Rangers listed at +115 to pull off the upset. Oddsmakers have set the total at 9 runs for Game 3 of this series in Phoenix.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rangers vs Diamondbacks prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Our Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction
- Rangers vs Diamondbacks pick: Over 9
Our Rangers vs Diamondbacks best bet is on the over total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -180 | 9 -105o / -115u | +115 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 9 -105o / -115u | -140 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Jack Leiter (TEX) | Stat | RHP Zac Gallen (ARI) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-7 | W-L | 10-13 |
| 1.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 3.77/4.66 | ERA /xERA | 4.94/4.56 |
| 4.24/4.69 | FIP / xFIP | 4.49/4.12 |
| 1.31 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 11.3% | K-BB% | 13.5% |
| 36.5% | GB% | 42.4% |
| 117 | Stuff+ | 85 |
| 80 | Location+ | 108 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Analysis
So far, the bats have been active: Texas took the opener 7-5 before Arizona answered with a 5-3 win in Game 2. That puts the combined scoring average at exactly 10 runs per game, right in line with the current total.
Jack Leiter gets the ball for the Rangers after previously holding Arizona to 1 run over 5 innings on August 12, though he only struck out three in that outing. On the other side, Zac Gallen is coming off an impressive August where he posted a 2.57 ERA with 28 strikeouts across 35 innings, going 3-1 in the process. While both pitchers have shown flashes, the bigger betting angle comes from a late-season totals trend.
According to Evan Abrams’ “Late Season Overs, Lower Totals” system, games in hitter-friendly or high-variance environments like Arizona tend to go over the total when set at 10.5 or less late in the year. Factors like dry desert air, deeper bullpens stretched by expanded rosters, and market underestimation of run environments in August through October all contribute to higher scoring.
With the Rangers’ lineup still capable of piling up runs and the Diamondbacks’ offense comfortable in Chase Field, this spot lines up well for another game to push past its number.
Pick: Over 9 (-105, Fanatics)
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends
