Thursday MLB NRFI Odds, Expert Picks & Prediction: Hook Onto Baseball’s Worst First-Inning Team (Sept. 29)
Sarah Stier/Getty Images. Pictured: Miami Marlins manager Don Mattingly
- Thursday's Marlins vs. Brewers game is the pick for today's NRFI play.
- The Brewers are slumping and the Marlins have the worst first-inning offense in baseball.
- Shayne Trail breaks down the game and his rationale for a scoreless first inning below.
Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.
No Runs First Inning (-140)
| Matchup | B. Garrett (Marlins) vs E. Lauer (Brewers) |
| First Pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | DraftKings |
On Thursday, we travel to Milwaukee to find value in an NRFI between two National League teams: the Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins.
The Brewers will send out Eric Lauer, who has been spectacular to the NRFI this season. Coming into today, Lauer is 21-6 to the NRFI with a 9-2 home NRFI split.
When facing leadoff hitters, Lauer has performed very well. In 69 leadoff hitters faced, he’s allowed only 13 hits, which is good for a .188 average and demonstrates that he is very proficient in getting the most crucial out in an NRFI.
Here is what some of these Marlins hitters have done in the past against Lauer:
- Garrett Cooper 0-for-4
- Miguel Rojas: 1-for-7
- Jacob Stallings: 1-for-10
Miami is by far the worst team when it comes to first-inning runs on the road. The Marlins NRFI on the road at an alarming rate of 87%.
The Marlins will counter with Braxton Garrett. Coming into today, Garrett has been nothing shy of proficient. He is 11-4 to the NRFI with a 6-2 road NRFI split. Garrett has been phenomenal in his last seven days: In six innings pitched, he has allowed only five hits and one run.
Garrett has not faced many of the Brewers hitters thus leaving the edge of unfamiliarity on his side. Despite needing wins to clinch a wild-card spot, the Brewers are riding a hot 9-1 NRFI streak.
With the Marlins by far being the worst team to find runs in the first inning, as well as the Brewers slumping in their last 10 games in the first inning, bet on these two pitchers to throw a scoreless first inning in Milwaukee.
As always, six outs to glory…
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