The Tampa Bay Rays host the Toronto Blue Jays on September 16, 2025. First pitch from George M. Steinbrenner Field is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSSUN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Blue Jays vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Our Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Rays pick: Under 8.5
Our Blue Jays vs Rays best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Rays Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -220 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -110 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +180 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Jose Berrios (TOR) | Stat | RHP Ryan Pepiot (TBR) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | W-L | 11-10 |
| 1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 3.99/4.77 | ERA /xERA | 3.59/3.96 |
| 4.51/4.36 | FIP / xFIP | 4.40/4.05 |
| 1.29 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 12.4% | K-BB% | 15.9% |
| 41.0% | GB% | 38.1% |
| 89 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 102 | Location+ | 97 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays meet for Game 2 of their series. Toronto took Game 1 in dramatic fashion, 2-1 in 11 innings. Rookie Trey Yesavage struck out nine to set a Blue Jays record for a major league debut, and George Springer delivered the go-ahead single. The win pushed Toronto’s AL East lead to five games and extended their winning streak to five.
For Tuesday, Jose Berríos takes the mound for Toronto. He faced Tampa Bay earlier this season, allowing three runs over six innings on May 24. The Rays counter with Ryan Pepiot, who is approaching his first 30-start season after recovering from a mid-year fatigue issue.
The betting angle here comes from Evan Abrams’ “Bet Under After Low Scoring Game in Series, Long Term” system. When both teams score two runs or fewer in the previous game, totals in the following matchup are often inflated by expectations of regression.
But history shows these games frequently stay under due to momentum, bullpen usage, and quality pitching matchups. Limiting the trend to Game 2 or later in a series strengthens the signal by avoiding opening-game volatility.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-115, bet365)
Blue Jays vs Rays Betting Trends
