MLB PrizePicks Plays: 4 Player Props, Including Nick Castellanos & Tony Gonsolin (Tuesday, May 10)
Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Nick Castellanos.
- Tuesday's MLB slate has 16 games with plenty of player props across the board.
- Tony Sartori sees PrizePicks value on Freddie Freeman, Nick Castellanos, Max Muncy and more.
- Check out all of Sartori's top PrizePicks plays for Tuesday below.
Tuesday's MLB slate features 16 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
Enter PrizePicks.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Tuesday’s Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Tuesday, May 10
Max Muncy Over 1.5 Hits + Walks
We have the second matchup of this three-game series as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the Pittsburgh Penguins.
I expect a big bounce-back from Los Angeles following Monday's 5-1 loss to the Pirates, as they are slated to go against right-hander Bryse Wilson.
Despite solid surface-level numbers this season, Wilson is due for some regression, as he possesses a .375 xwOBA, .291 xBA and .490 xSLG. Max Muncy has a great opportunity to take advantage of this with his .380 xwOBA this season.
Muncy has gone over this total in three of his last five games and should have a good chance to keep it rolling against a right-hander. When facing right-handed pitchers this season, Muncy's OBP jumps up to .352.
Freddie Freeman Hitter Fantasy Score Over 7.5
I'm backing another Los Angeles hitter in this contest, as Freddie Freeman has been tremendous this season. The former Brave leads the Dodgers in all of the big metrics as he boasts a .433 xwOBA, .315 xBA and .634 xSLG.
Freeman has torched right-handed pitchers this season, holding a .333 BA, .389 OBP, .508 SLG and .897 OPS against righties. Freeman has gone over this total in five of his last nine games.
Tony Gonsolin Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 27.5
The last Dodger I'm backing is projected starting pitcher Tony Gonsolin. Through five starts this season, Gonsolin is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 1.091 WHIP.
The right-hander should find more success against a Pirates lineup that ranks just 20th in the league in wOBA, SLG and OPS when facing right-handed pitchers.
In 21 career plate appearances against Gonsolin, this current Pirates roster possesses a mere .111 BA, .167 SLG and .200 wOBA.
Nick Castellanos Under 0.5 Runs + RBIs
We have the second matchup of this three-game interleague series as the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Seattle Mariners following Monday's 9-0 win.
While Philadelphia manhandled Seattle in that game, I expect some offensive regression in Tuesday's matchup against left-hander Robbie Ray.
Castellanos has gone under this total in six of his last eight games and could be a good fade candidate in this game. When playing away from home this season, Castellanos' BA drops to .286.
Kyle Schwarber Hitter Fantasy Score Under 6
The other Phillies hitter I'm fading in this matchup is Kyle Schwarber. Schwarber possesses a mere .189 BA, .302 OBP, .324 SLG and .627 OPS against left-handed pitchers this season.
Schwarber has been in poor form recently as he has gone under this fantasy score total in four of his last six games. Despite an extremely small sample size, Schwarber has failed to record a hit in two career at-bats against Ray.
How would you rate this article?
Follow Us On Social
